Dating Nebraska

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2014.09.12 09:46 jrmjr what are best sites for casual sex?

Looking for free websites to meet DTF women. Mainly my conservative area in Lincoln Nebraska. Probably not likely, but whatever. Done with dating apps and supposedly "hook up apps". All women there want relationship without sex at my age. In my early 30's so please help!
[link]


2020.10.22 21:00 darkra01 Weekly Big Ten Discussion Thread

This is a weekly thread to discuss football in the Big Ten. Discussion should be limited to football in this conference.
If you have any suggestions on how to improve this weekly series going forward, I'd love to hear it.
Welcome back after a long and tumultuous off-season filled with highs and lows. For preseason talk and discussion see here and here. Here's hoping we can get through an entire season with no postponements or hiccups.
Week 1 Results
None because nothing's been played yet.
Week 1 Schedule (Rankings reflect the /CFB Poll)
Date Teams Time/TV (EST) Spread Notes
10/23 Illinois @ #17 Wisconsin 8pm Big Ten Network Wisconsin by 18.5
10/24 Rutgers @ Michigan State Noon Big Ten Network MSU by 13
10/24 Nebraska @ #9 Ohio State Noon Fox Ohio State by 26 Big Noon Saturday Game
10/24 #13 Penn State @ Indiana 3:30p Fox Sports 1 Penn State by 6.5
10/24 Iowa @ Purdue 3:30p Big Ten Network Iowa by 3.5 Brohm diagnosed with COVID-19; Out this weekend
10/24 #22 Michigan @ #24 Minnesota 7:30p ABC Michigan by 3.5 ABC's Saturday Night Primetime Game
10/24 Maryland @ Northwestern 7:30p Big Ten Network Northwestern by 11
Byes: None
Standings
East Record West Record
Ohio State 0-0 (0-0) Wisconsin 0-0 (0-0)
Michigan State 0-0 (0-0) Northwestern 0-0 (0-0)
Penn State 0-0 (0-0) Iowa 0-0 (0-0)
Michigan 0-0 (0-0) Purdue 0-0 (0-0)
Rutgers 0-0 (0-0) Nebraska 0-0 (0-0)
Indiana 0-0 (0-0) Minnesota 0-0 (0-0)
Maryland 0-0 (0-0) Illinois 0-0 (0-0)
Past Discussion Threads

Discuss predictions, upsets, coaching, general Big Ten news etc. here

submitted by darkra01 to CFB [link] [comments]


2020.10.22 05:14 Watchdogs66 Our "Drive to 245": The Twenty-Seventh Step (First Quarter)

The Drive To 245: Deprive the GOP In 25
 
In 2014 and with 234 House seats, the NRCC launched the “Drive to 245” campaign for the 2014 midterms, which focused on securing 245 seats for the 114th Congress. At the close of the midterms, they ended up picking up 13 seats, putting their new majority to 247 seats, 2 seats above the goal. For the majority of this election cycle, we had at least 234 House seats to start with, until a turncoat in disguise switched to the GOP in December 2019 (get fucked Jeff Van Drew) and we lost one of our districts in a May 2020 special election (get your act together Christy Smith). Despite these setbacks, getting to 245 seats in the next election is possible for us to achieve, if we are smart about it.
 
In late November 2018, I began by compiling an initial list of 25 potential districts that could give us the necessary gains for us to make the necessary net gain of 10 seats to fulfill our “Drive to 245” campaign goal. I then outlined the state representatives and state senators that we have on our side that live within (or at least represent a good portion of) the identified districts in the second step, which was split into parts one and two. These local officials are often our first line of offense when it comes to selecting appropriate candidates to flip GOP congressional districts, as these people often start out with significant amounts of name recognition (at least compared to most political novices), developed campaign infrastructures, and established donor networks to draw on. In the third step, I explored four different ways that these state representatives and state senators can help promising candidates build a solid platform to flip these 25 districts, even if we are not able to recruit any of these seasoned individuals themselves. I then proceeded to identify every individual local county Democratic organization within in each of these 25 districts to determine how much of a viable network exists towards flipping any of these districts, and whether any of them appear to be fledgling and underfunded, which was split into parts one, two, and three. I then proceeded to draw up rough battle plans to recruit the best candidates that are suitable towards making the necessary gains for the proposed 245 House seats, which I covered in parts one, two, and three. Since then, I updated my list of 25 districts to better reflect the developments that have occurred since November 2018, as well as the candidates from our end that have filed in those districts. After that, I covered updated game plans for the updated 25 districts, which was again split into parts one, two, and three. Another comprehensive update to the list was conducted in early July to account for the GOP retirements, lack of Democratic candidate recruitment for several districts, and other remarkable events that have occurred, all of which have been documented in said update. From there, more detailed plans were made that illustrated the overall status of the Democratic campaigns for each of these districts, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. These plans also highlighted which candidates appeared to have the most organized campaigns for each district, and which ones out of these strongest candidates needed the most assistance in terms of fundraising. Donation plans were also made that could sufficiently help out these struggling candidates, if every active user of this subreddit took part. After that, I provided a detailed plan for defending our 5 most endangered Democratic incumbents for this cycle. I next discussed the different methods that volunteers can help out a campaign, and what good campaigns should provide in such activities to optimize their voter outreach effectiveness, both of which can be found in parts one and two. In October 2019, I then provided another comprehensive review of the 25 districts that are the most likely to flip blue and the ideal strategies to accomplish that goal, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. After that, I provided an update on the overall status of our top 5 most endangered incumbents, and posted a rescue plan to help out the least financially stable campaigns, both of which can be found in this post. My next step provided day-by-day calendars highlighting volunteer events within the targeted 25 districts that helped participants develop vital Democratic infrastructure in those areas. These calendars, which ran from October 31 to January 15, can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. In late January, I gave a third update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. At the start of February 2020, I gave a fresh analysis of the 25 districts with the best chances of going blue, which are provided in parts one, two, three, and four. I then jumped to a day-by-day calendar of volunteer events of congressional campaigns operating throughout the 25 districts, which was originally planned to be released in four parts. However, the quickly deteriorating COVID-19 situation has forced this series to be suspended halfway through this step. The two calendars provided in this step, which ran from February 7 to March 19, can be found here and here. In April 2020, I provided an updated study of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Later in May 2020, I provided another update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle and their performances. I subsequently proceeded in June 2020 to provide a list of the competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that this series targeted or defended, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Starting in late July 2020, I provided an updated perspective of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, all of which were provided in parts one, two, three, and four. Shortly thereafter in August 2020, I provided a fresh update on the campaign status of the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. From there, I supplied a fresh view on the status of our campaigns in competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that was targeted or defended by this series, which was given in parts one, two, three, and four. Next, I provided a calendar highlighting the important dates for the congressional campaigns operating within the 30 districts targeted and defended by this series. In October 2020, I provided a final comprehensive review of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies to pursue for each of these districts, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Shortly thereafter, I provided a final update on the general standing of the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle.
 
This step will provide a final update on the competitive state house and state senate districts that lie within or near the 30 congressional districts that this series is either targeting or defending. These state legislative districts are grouped by state, and were then listed in the order of the related congressional districts’ overall priority, which is roughly based on factors such as whether there is an important up-ballot statewide race (Presidential or Senate) to support and the overall competitiveness of the congressional districts in question. Given the overall length of these strategies, this step will be split into four quarters. In the first quarter of this step, a list of competitive state legislative districts located in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New York will be provided.
Every state legislative district listed in this post will include its current controlling party (D, R, or VACANT), incumbent’s name (or an OPEN indication if said incumbent is retiring), experimentally calculated Cook PVI, the CNalysis rating given at the time of this writing, and the congressional districts that it overlaps with. The Democratic nominee’s campaign website and latest fundraising numbers will also be provided, as well as the latest fundraising numbers of the GOP opponent. At the end of each state’s group of legislative districts, a summary of the status of our campaigns there will be delivered.
Some candidates are indicated with a minus or a plus, which indicates the overall quality of their campaign websites according to criteria that was listed in the twentieth step of this series.
 
Georgia:
SD-9 (R, P.K. Martin, R+11, Lean R): GA-07
Nikki Merritt (+): $99,413, https://merritt4georgia.com/ GOP: P.K. Martin: $248,431
SD-48 (D, OPEN, R+4, Tilt D): GA-07
Michelle Au (+): $328,712, https://auforga.com/ GOP: Matt Reeves: $277,445
HD-95 (D, Beth Moore, R+4, Lean D): GA-07
Beth Moore (+): $84,147, https://www.mooreforgeorgia.com/ GOP: Erica McCurdy: $78,489
HD-102 (D, Gregg Kennard, R+8, Tilt D): GA-07
Gregg Kennard (-): $33,731, https://www.rep-greggkennard.com/ GOP: Soo Hong: $126,468
HD-104 (R, Chuck Efstration, R+15, Lean R): GA-07
Nakita Hemingway (-): $91,419, https://nakitahemingway.com/ GOP: Chuck Efstration: $333,898
HD-106 (R, Brett Harrell, R+4, Lean D): GA-07
Rebecca Mitchell (+): $140,862, https://www.rebeccaforgeorgia.com/ GOP: Brett Harrell: $365,910
HD-108 (D, Jasmine Clark, R+7, Lean D): GA-07
Jasmine Clark: $104,528, https://www.jasmineclarkforgeorgia.com/ GOP: Johnny Crist: $55,730
Summary: There is nothing notable in the Georgia State Senate races. There are a couple of notable observations to be found in the State House races, though. Democratic nominees Rebecca Mitchell in HD-106 and Jasmine Clark in HD-108 have both broken the $100,000 fundraising benchmark, indicating that exceptionally strong campaigns are taking place in these districts. Rebecca Mitchell, however, is still being outraised by the GOP incumbent Brett Harrell. The races that should have our attention right now are SD-9 and HD-102, as the Democratic nominees in these races are currently being outraised by their opponents as of the September 2020 reports. However, the gaps in these two races are narrow enough to close if more donations were directed towards the corresponding Democratic campaigns. Also, these Democrats have posted modest overall fundraising amounts, meaning that any donations this late in the election cycle have enough of an impact to change the course of these races.
Michigan:
HD-61 (R, OPEN, EVEN, Tilt D): MI-06
Christine Morse (-): $235,215, https://www.vote4morse.com/ GOP: Bronwyn Haltom: $338,495
Summary: The post primary reports show Christine Morse, the Democratic nominee in the sole State House race listed for this state, raising extraordinary amounts for her campaign. However, she is still getting outraised by her GOP opponent, Bronwyn Haltom. Christine Morse could definitely use some additional volunteer support in the last weeks to help turn this State House district blue.
Pennsylvania:
SD-15 (R, John DiSanto, R+3, Tilt R): PA-10
George Scott (+): $470,562, https://www.georgescottpa15.com/ GOP: John DiSanto: $610,909
HD-18 (R, K.C. Tomlinson, D+5, Tossup): PA-01
Harold Hayes (+): $769,538, https://www.hayesforpa.com/ GOP: K.C. Tomlinson: $505,630
HD-29 (R, Meghan Schroeder, R+5, Tilt R): PA-01
Marlene Katz (-): $119,149, https://www.marlenekatzforpa.com/ GOP: Meghan Schroeder: $131,295
HD-53 (D, Steven Malagari, R+1, Lean D): PA-01
Steven Malagari (+): $155,227, https://www.votemalagari.com/ GOP: Miles Arnott: $8,823
HD-105 (R, Andrew Lewis, R+6, Tilt R): PA-10
Brittney Rodas (-): $85,528, https://rodasforpa.com/ GOP: Andrew Lewis: $270,037
HD-143 (D, Wendy Ullman, R+4, Tilt D): PA-01
Wendy Ullman (+): $186,829, https://www.wendyullman.com/ GOP: Shelby Labs: $7,070
HD-144 (R, F. Todd Polinchock, R+5, Tilt R): PA-01
Gary Spillane (+): $75,000, https://www.electgaryspillane.com/ GOP: F. Todd Polinchock: $47,095
HD-151 (R, Todd Stephens, D+3, Tilt D): PA-01
Jonathan Kassa (+): $94,061, https://kassaforstaterep.com/ GOP: Todd Stephens: $115,030
HD-178 (R, Wendi Thomas, R+6, Tilt R): PA-01
Ann Marie Mitchell (+): $89,061, https://voteannmariemitchell.com/ GOP: Wendi Thomas: $306,305
Summary: George Scott has posted excellent fundraising numbers in his State Senate run, but is still running behind the GOP incumbent, John DiSanto. There are also a couple of notable observations for the battleground State House races. The latest fundraising reports revealed that the Democratic nominees running in HD-18, HD-53, and HD-143 are significant outraising their GOP opponents by at least six figures. This is expected for the latter two districts, as the Democrats there are currently the incumbents. HD-18, however, is probably due in part to the Democrat unsuccessfully running in a special election in this district earlier this year. For this state, the key races that need additional support are located in HD-29 and HD-151. In both of these races, the Democratic nominees are currently being outraised by the districts’ GOP incumbents as of the 30-day post primary reports and the few 2nd Friday pre-election reports that are available. However, the fundraising gaps are narrow enough to close if both of our candidates received more donations very soon. The overall fundraising numbers of these Democrats are also medium-sized, which means that last minute donations can improve their chances of winning.
New York:
SD-1 (R, OPEN, R+3, Tilt R): NY-01
Laura Ahearn: $428,097, https://www.ahearnforstatesenate.com/ GOP: Anthony Palumbo: $156,273
SD-3 (D, Monica Martinez, EVEN, Lean D): NY-01, NY-02
Monica Martinez: $670,406, https://monicaforsenate.com/ GOP: Alexis Weik: $128,872
SD-4 (R, Philip Boyle, R+2, Lean R): NY-01, NY-02
Christine Pellegrino: $134,156, http://www.christinepellegrino.com/ GOP: Philip Boyle: $38,442
SD-50 (VACANT, OPEN, D+3, Tilt D): NY-24
John Mannion (+): $295,673, https://www.mannionforstatesenate.com/ GOP: Angi Renna: $108,878
AD-9 (R, OPEN, R+11, Lean R): NY-02
Ann Brancato (+): $15,662, https://www.annbrancato.com/ GOP: Michael Durso: $47,837
AD-12 (VACANT, OPEN, R+5, Lean R): NY-02
Michael Marcantonio (+): $212,035, https://www.michaelmarcantonio.com/ GOP: Keith Brown: $104,942
AD-15 (R, Michael Montesano, R+5, Lean R): NY-02
Joseph Sackman III (+): $28,028, https://joesackmanfornysassembly.com/ GOP: Michael Montesano: $31,755
AD-121 (R, John Salka, R+5, Tilt R): NY-22
Dan Buttermann (-): $34,358, https://www.buttermannforassembly.com/ GOP: John Salka: $17,238
Summary: The 32 day pre general reports highlight a couple of noticable observations in the New York state legislative races. In the State Senate races, Monica Martinez, the Democratic incumbent for SD-3, is posting a very strong fundraising amount and is vastly outraising her GOP opponent Alexis Weik. Over in the State Assembly races, Ann Brancato, the Democratic nominee in AD-9, is raising a rather low five-digit cumulative sum. A viable candidate needs to raise at least $21,000 in order to get a state assembly campaign off the ground, if past trends in New York races hold. AD-15 is the sole race to focus on for this state, as Democratic nominee Joseph Sackman III has posted a moderate fundraising amount and is being slightly outraised by his GOP opponent Michael Montesano, according to the 32 day pre general reports. This means that small dollar donations can considerably improve Joseph Sackman III’s chances of flipping the district if enough of them are directed to his campaign very soon.
 
And thus we come the end of this step’s first quarter. The second quarter will go over target legislative districts situated in Oklahoma, Utah, South Carolina, and New Mexico. Then, the third quarter will identify key districts in Texas, Ohio, Illinois, Florida, and Indiana. After that, the final quarter will cover competitive districts in California, Colorado, Nebraska, and Montana. So stay tuned! Any corrections or comments are welcome.
submitted by Watchdogs66 to VoteDEM [link] [comments]


2020.10.22 01:10 Hydra_in_your_soup I unwittingly title jumped (US-Nebraska), am homeless and have no mailing address to mail back and forth...I’d let it go (illness/homeless/mail is screwed up national) and hadn’t heard from the buyer in a while. What is the very worst case they can do? Could I have a failure to appear?

US-Nebraska; During the pandemic when the DMV was closed I bought a camper trailer then resold it (got in over my head with what repairs were needed). I resold it to a young man who was very persistent texting and showing up to visit, who offered lowball and I accidentally accepted an offer via text- “I’ll take it tonight”, I said okay thinking it was a new person and hadn’t recognized his phone number. For various reasons I drove it to his buddies’ house, and buddy and his mom helped unhook it. I was being forced to move, leaving me homeless, so I accepted an offer to couch surf at an out of state friend’s.and within a few days was I gone. I’d just given the buyer the signed title (again the DMV was closed or maybe had just reopened). I didn’t know it was a big deal, a trailer title is like $10 in NE and I’d happily have paid it had it been COVID safe.
I didn’t mean harm, and had previously bought a car that way myself without knowing it was a big deal.
So, I’m couch surfing with no mailing address and am worried that the angry mom of the young man I sold it to (he didn’t tell her. He is like 6’2” and I thought him maybe 21 but at least 18, however he was younger).
So, what is the worst case scenario? Could she have petitioned for a court date that I would have missed since I don’t have a mailing address? Could there be a bench warrant? What is the safest way to find out?
And, what can I do to make it right? I’m still dead broke, ill and homeless.
submitted by Hydra_in_your_soup to legaladvice [link] [comments]


2020.10.21 23:45 throwaway-va90 Case Update Date Change - Case "Touched"

Hi guys - we've applied for I-130. Applied mid-July, received NOA1 at the end of that month. Assigned to Nebraska. Under case update, our last date had been July 28th, 2020, but today the date changed to today's date (10/21/2020) - I understand that this is just the date the case was last touched. However, because I'm looking for hope: any cases where your case was touched and then approved a few days after?
submitted by throwaway-va90 to immigration [link] [comments]


2020.10.21 19:00 captaingalaxy Week 8 Match-up Preview Thread: #9 Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

#9 Ohio State vs. Nebraska
When: Saturday, October, 24, 12:00 PM Eastern
Where: Ohio Stadium - Columbus, OH
Watch: Fox
Odds: Ohio State by 26.0 pts.
Total Points: 67.5
All-Time Series : Ohio State vs. Nebraska
Ohio State and Nebraska have met 8 times since 09/24/1955.
These teams last met 389 days ago on 09/28/2019.
Series Wins: Ohio State 7-0-1 Nebraska
Longest streak of continuous meetings: 4 (2016-2019).
Ohio State has won the last 5 meetings (2012-2019) in this series.
Last 6 Meetings
Winner Date Location Ohio State Nebraska Notes
Ohio State 2019-09-28 Lincoln, NE 48 7
Ohio State 2018-11-03 Columbus, OH 36 31
Ohio State 2017-10-14 Lincoln, NE 56 14
Ohio State 2016-11-05 Columbus, OH 62 3
Ohio State 2012-10-06 Columbus, OH 63 38
Nebraska 2011-10-08 Lincoln, NE 27 34
Series Comparison Data via Winsipedia
Through Week 7
Week Ohio State 0-0(0-0) Result Nebraska 0-0(0-0) Result
1 BYE N/A BYE N/A
2 BYE N/A BYE N/A
3 BYE N/A BYE N/A
4 BYE N/A BYE N/A
5 BYE N/A BYE N/A
6 BYE N/A BYE N/A
7 BYE N/A BYE N/A
All rankings reflect the current /cfb poll
Ohio State Injury Report
Data Scraped: 2020-10-16 20:00:03
Player Position Status Reported Notes
Master Teague III RB Ques Oct 24 – Achilles Sat, Sep 19 Teague III has an Achilles injury, and it is unclear if he will be active for the season opener against Nebraska.
Marcus Crowley RB Ques Oct 24 – Knee Sat, Sep 19 Crowley is managing a knee injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Nebraska on Oct. 24.
Haskell Garrett DT Ques Oct 24 – Face Sat, Sep 19 Garrett is tending to an offseason injury to his cheek, and it is unknown if he will partake in the season opener against Nebraska.
Injury data lifted from: boydsbets.com
Nebraska Injury Report
Data Scraped: 2020-10-16 20:00:03
Player Position Status Reported Notes
Erza Miller OL Out For Season – Eligibility Sat, Sep 19 Miller has been deemed ineligible for the entire 2020 season due to NCAA rules.
Will Nixon WR Out For Season – Knee Sat, Sep 19 Nixon will miss the entire 2020 season due to a torn ACL.
Omar Manning WR Ques Oct 24 – Undisclosed Thu, Oct 1 Manning is managing an unspecified injury, and it is unclear if he will face Ohio Sate in the season opener.
Braxton Clark CB Out For Season – Shoulder Fri, Oct 2 Clark has a shoulder injury and will miss the remainder of the 2020 season.
Wan Dale Robinson WR Ques Oct 24 – Undisclosed Tue, Oct 13 Robinson is dealing with an undefined injury, and it is unknown if he will play in the season opener versus Ohio State.
Alante Brown WR Prob Oct 24 – Undisclosed Thu, Oct 15 Brown has an injury to an unlisted location, but it is not expected to impede his status for Oct. 24 versus Ohio State.
Injury data lifted from: boydsbets.com
What are your "Keys to the Game"?
Who do you think wins?
Do you think the favorite will cover the spread?
Which player(s) are you most interested to watch?
Let's talk football!
To vote in the matchup "who will win poll" simply include the name of the team you think will win enclosed by {} as part of your TOP LEVEL comment discussing the matchup. To change your vote just edit your initial comment to bracket the other team. You can change your vote as often as you like until the GAME THREAD is posted
A full listing of accepted FBS team aliases can be found here.. For FCS teams you will need to use the full name as it appears in the post title.
A listing of links, and live vote totals, to all Match-up Preview threads for the current week can be found HERE.
Like this format? Generate your own "Match-up Discussion Thread" with the Match-up Discussion Thread Generator. Please DM dupreesdiamond with any issues/suggestions regarding this template
submitted by captaingalaxy to CFB [link] [comments]


2020.10.20 05:22 baronesslucy Dangerous secrets

Some secrets can cause someone to disappear, die a suspicious death, or never be seen again. The actor I will call him Miller has no idea that I had the missing book.
I was given a copy of the yet to be published tell-all book that an ex-partner had written about him . A stranger gave me the book outside a mall in Omaha, Nebraska. I put it in a book bag and took it home. The woman who wrote the book drowned in a lake a couple of days after the book went missing.
The stranger who gave me the book later died. Other people who were thought to have the book died under mysterious or suspicious circumstances. This included 3 people in town but authorities never made the connections.
My neighbor's great-niece Mia is dating Miller's son Damon. Damon came into my house while I was on vacation and basically tore the place apart. Miller was furious with him.
They cleaned up my home. If I hadn't had a camera in my house, I never would have known. I had the book with me on vacation which saved my life. I hid it well after that.
Mia got sick with the flu and went to the doctor who questioned her morals. A few days later the doctor was found in his bed deceased.
I saw a black SUV going down the street. The doctor lived nearby. It was 2:00 am. I saw someone walking down the street. I knew who it was. When the doctor didn't show up for church, the pastor went to his house. Police were called and he was found in bed, unresponsive.
I later took Damon and Mia to the Amtrak station in Grand Island and they left town quickly.
I know who the killer is and he's Miller son, Damon. I never reported to police what he did. He seemed like such a nice guy. Killers like him are the most dangerous. He broke up with Mia as he had used her to gain access to the town, believing someone in town had the book and he killed 3 people. The doctor was killed due to comments about Mia. Police never connected the dots.
I ripped all the pages from the book and shredded it. Till the day I died, I was afraid that I would be killed if it were known that I had the book. I never told anyone what I knew as I was too scared.
submitted by baronesslucy to shortscarystories [link] [comments]


2020.10.20 00:25 wadefagen UIUC Senate Approves Modified Spring 2021 Schedule (Spring Break Cancelled)

Three major changes were just officially adopted to UIUC's Spring 2021 academic calendar:
With this, Illinois becomes the 9th Big Ten college to cancel Spring Break (Purdue, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio State, Penn State, Nebraska, UW-Madison, and Iowa have already canceled their breaks). With the Fall semester ending on the earlier side (Dec. 18) and the late start of Spring (Jan. 25), Winter Break is officially five weeks long! ❄
Here's the full proposal, which passed with a vote of 129-13: https://www.senate.illinois.edu/20201019senate/EP21018_FINAL_20201019.pdf
(\: There was a point of order raised after the vote about a procedural rule that may not have been followed during the floor debate/voting. The Senate parliamentarian ruled the vote had been finalized and that thereby nullified the point of order. Everyone who I was talking to on text chat during the meeting left feeling that the vote passed so we're all going with that assumption that it's passed.))
submitted by wadefagen to UIUC [link] [comments]


2020.10.19 23:49 Jantobio3391 [Nebraska] question for backpay appeal winners

I’m asking everyone
So I had been determined that the 14 weeks I was not eligible for the decision was then reverse in July And only received two payments of the $600 ending of the week and then federal aid from trump but no back pay so last week on Tuesday I received $3000K Amazing right so I was assuming because the status from disqualified week changed to partial check Sadly it will never show me a processing sign so it’s hard to tell if my back pay is being paid out to me already but the empty weeks have all changed payment issue date to 10/10/2020 it’s now 10/18 Is it safe to assume they are back paying me the weeks I was disqualified for as of now or am I going to only get a partial check every week till what’s owed to me is owed or how do I go about this in my head for peace of mind.
I also have a condition that requires me to be home at the moment so I know I’m exempt due to the high risk document I have
So can anyone even outside Nebraska give me a peace of mind on this process Take note I did not receive anything till July mis way ending
submitted by Jantobio3391 to Unemployment [link] [comments]


2020.10.19 20:07 Watchdogs66 Our "Drive to 245": The Twenty-Fifth Step (Fourth Quarter)

The Drive To 245: Deprive the GOP In 25
 
In 2014 and with 234 House seats, the NRCC launched the “Drive to 245” campaign for the 2014 midterms, which focused on securing 245 seats for the 114th Congress. At the close of the midterms, they ended up picking up 13 seats, putting their new majority to 247 seats, 2 seats above the goal. For the majority of this election cycle, we had at least 234 House seats to start with, until a turncoat in disguise switched to the GOP in December 2019 (get fucked Jeff Van Drew) and we lost one of our districts in a May 2020 special election (get your act together Christy Smith). Despite these setbacks, getting to 245 seats in the next election is possible for us to achieve, if we are smart about it.
 
In late November 2018, I began by compiling an initial list of 25 potential districts that could give us the necessary gains for us to make the necessary net gain of 10 seats to fulfill our “Drive to 245” campaign goal. I then outlined the state representatives and state senators that we have on our side that live within (or at least represent a good portion of) the identified districts in the second step, which was split into parts one and two. These local officials are often our first line of offense when it comes to selecting appropriate candidates to flip GOP congressional districts, as these people often start out with significant amounts of name recognition (at least compared to most political novices), developed campaign infrastructures, and established donor networks to draw on. In the third step, I explored four different ways that these state representatives and state senators can help promising candidates build a solid platform to flip these 25 districts, even if we are not able to recruit any of these seasoned individuals themselves. I then proceeded to identify every individual local county Democratic organization within in each of these 25 districts to determine how much of a viable network exists towards flipping any of these districts, and whether any of them appear to be fledgling and underfunded, which was split into parts one, two, and three. I then proceeded to draw up rough battle plans to recruit the best candidates that are suitable towards making the necessary gains for the proposed 245 House seats, which I covered in parts one, two, and three. Since then, I updated my list of 25 districts to better reflect the developments that have occurred since November 2018, as well as the candidates from our end that have filed in those districts. After that, I covered updated game plans for the updated 25 districts, which was again split into parts one, two, and three. Another comprehensive update to the list was conducted in early July to account for the GOP retirements, lack of Democratic candidate recruitment for several districts, and other remarkable events that have occurred, all of which have been documented in said update. From there, more detailed plans were made that illustrated the overall status of the Democratic campaigns for each of these districts, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. These plans also highlighted which candidates appeared to have the most organized campaigns for each district, and which ones out of these strongest candidates needed the most assistance in terms of fundraising. Donation plans were also made that could sufficiently help out these struggling candidates, if every active user of this subreddit took part. After that, I provided a detailed plan for defending our 5 most endangered Democratic incumbents for this cycle. I next discussed the different methods that volunteers can help out a campaign, and what good campaigns should provide in such activities to optimize their voter outreach effectiveness, both of which can be found in parts one and two. In October 2019, I then provided another comprehensive review of the 25 districts that are the most likely to flip blue and the ideal strategies to accomplish that goal, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. After that, I provided an update on the overall status of our top 5 most endangered incumbents, and posted a rescue plan to help out the least financially stable campaigns, both of which can be found in this post. My next step provided day-by-day calendars highlighting volunteer events within the targeted 25 districts that helped participants develop vital Democratic infrastructure in those areas. These calendars, which ran from October 31 to January 15, can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. In late January, I gave a third update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. At the start of February 2020, I gave a fresh analysis of the 25 districts with the best chances of going blue, which are provided in parts one, two, three, and four. I then jumped to a day-by-day calendar of volunteer events of congressional campaigns operating throughout the 25 districts, which was originally planned to be released in four parts. However, the quickly deteriorating COVID-19 situation has forced this series to be suspended halfway through this step. The two calendars provided in this step, which ran from February 7 to March 19, can be found here and here. In April 2020, I provided an updated study of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Later in May 2020, I provided another update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle and their performances. I subsequently proceeded in June 2020 to provide a list of the competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that this series targeted or defended, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Starting in late July 2020, I provided an updated perspective of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, all of which were provided in parts one, two, three, and four. Shortly thereafter in August 2020, I provided a fresh update on the campaign status of the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. From there, I supplied a fresh view on the status of our campaigns in competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that was targeted or defended by this series, which was given in parts one, two, three, and four. Next, I provided a calendar highlighting the important dates for the congressional campaigns operating within the 30 districts targeted and defended by this series.
 
This step will provide a final comprehensive review for each of the 25 districts that this series is targeting in the 2020 elections. As of now, the Democratic nominees have been selected for each target district. This review’s main objective is to gauge the progress of each nominee’s general election campaign. During the months that have transpired from the series’ last comprehensive review, excellent overall progress has been made in the target districts, which currently cover regions located throughout fifteen states. These districts are sorted by state, then ordered by priority, which is roughly based on factors such as whether there is an important up-ballot statewide race (Presidential or Senate) to support, the overall flippability of the districts in question, how soon within the 2020 cycle Democratic organization began within these relevant areas, and the overall quality of the Democratic nominees. Given the overall length of these strategies, this step will be split into four quarters. In the first quarter of this step, game plans were elaborated for districts located in Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The second quarter of this step went over the best strategies for districts situated in Texas, Ohio, New York, and Virginia. Then, the third quarter of this step described ideal procedures for flipping target districts in Illinois, Florida, Indiana, and California.
The last quarter will cover optimized tactics for districts within New Jersey, Colorado, Nebraska, and Montana. For each district, the nominee’s campaign website, the amount of money he or she has raised so far according to the 2020 Q3 reports, and their campaign donation page will be listed. The fundraising numbers of the GOP opponent and an analysis of the Democratic nominee’s campaign will also be provided.
Some nominees are indicated with a minus or a plus, which indicates the overall quality of their campaign websites according to criteria that was listed in the second half of the eleventh step of this series. All districts listed on this post have their PVI and the bluest rating given by the political pundits at the time of this writing.
 
NJ-02 (Jeff Van Drew, R+1, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Amy Kennedy Fundraising Numbers: $3,765,377 Campaign Website: https://amykennedyforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/alk_web200106-launch
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Jeff Van Drew: $3,596,047
Ah yes, the race where our goal is to kick out the backstabber with the name of Jeff Van Drew. Right now, Amy Kennedy is outraising the turncoat Jeff Van Drew and has completely closed the seven figure gap that existed in the previous analysis. It is worth noting that Jeff Van Drew’s fundraising numbers include Democratic donations which were not returned, exposing his dire financial straits and his true nature as a low-class scammer. The latest polls conducted for this district indicate that Amy Kennedy has established a clear lead on Jeff Van Drew. This means is that Jeff Van Drew is likely going to be kicked out of office and will fully pay for his traitorous nature. Extra effort needs to be placed on Salem County, as the Democratic party there is underfunded and allowed their website to expire due to lack of funding.
CO-03 (OPEN, R+6, Lean R):
Democratic Nominee: Diane Mitsch Bush Fundraising Numbers: $3,642,301 Campaign Website: https://dianeforcolorado.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dmb-2020
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Lauren Boebert: $2,095,647
Oh boy, has this race been a huge headache for the GOP ever since Lauren Boebert defeated the incumbent, Scott Tipton, in the GOP primary. Various articles have exposed her association with QAnon conspiracy theories and far-right militia groups. Oh yes, and there is also the controversy about Lauren Boebert telling an underage server to carry a gun at her diner, Shooters Grill, which is a Class 4 felony. Another factor in our favor is that Diane Mitsch Bush has a giant fundraising advantage over Lauren Boebert. Also, Diane Mitsch Bush is currently polling rather close to Lauren Boebert. And finally, recent reports have revealed that the Democratic infrastructure on Alamosa, Gunnison, and Moffat Counties have improved since December 2018. However, quite a few counties remain where we need to improve our efforts in order for us to have a reasonable chance of flipping this district. Conejos, Costilla, Custer, Dolores, Hinsdale, Lake, Mineral, Ouray, Rio Blanco, San Juan, and San Miguel Counties are all such areas that are still in need of a grassroots boost, as the local Democratic parties there are underfunded. Also, Diane Mitsch Bush’s volunteer page in her campaign website has slightly deteriorated, as it no longer has a space for potential volunteers to choose which activities to engage in. This is certainly a hot spot to get out the votes to not only flip a GOP district, but also to kick out Cory Gardner from the Senate as an added benefit!
NE-02 (Don Bacon, R+4, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Kara Eastman (+) Fundraising Numbers: $3,251,874 Campaign Website: https://www.eastmanforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/eastmanforcongressweb
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Don Bacon: $3,194,810
Kara Eastman has managed to completely the fundraising gap that was present in the last analysis and is now outraising the GOP incumbent, Don Bacon, in fundraising. The latest polls show Kara Eastman trailing Don Bacon by at least several points, which suggests that the race needs additional support for this district to flip in the congressional level. Don Bacon’s polling lead is due to his admittedly successful strategy of getting prominent Democrats to defect and endorse his re-election campaign. So the plan for this particular race is to turn out the district’s progressive voters to drown out the significant number of voters who will split the ticket between Joe Biden and Don Bacon. Kara Eastman’s campaign succeeds this time around, we could help Joe Biden win the single electoral vote that NE-02 holds due to the reverse coattail effects. Winning that single electoral vote would shut off a few plausible paths to Donald Trump’s re-election, further justifying why everyone should give this district their full attention.
MT-AL (OPEN, R+11, Lean R):
Democratic Nominee: Kathleen Williams (+) Fundraising Numbers: $4,703,520 Campaign Website: https://kathleenformontana.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/1904-web-kw
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Matt Rosendale: $3,053,461
Kathleen Williams has a clear fundraising advantage over her GOP opponent Matt Rosendale. Rosendale’s loss to Jon Tester in the 2018 Senate race gives us a template on how to flip this district, which is another factor in our favor. Also, recent reports say that the local Democratic infrastructure in Dawson and Ravalli Counties have improved since July 2019. The most recent polls for this race show Matt Rosendale and Kathleen Williams roughly neck and neck with each other and separated by small margins. A key problem for us in this race is that the majority of Montana’s counties currently have underfunded Democratic parties. Big Horn, Blaine, Carter, Chouteau, Custer, Daniels, Deer Lodge, Fallon, Fergus, Garfield, Glacier, Golden Valley, Granite, Jefferson, Judith Basin, Liberty, Lincoln, Madison, Meagher, McCone, Mineral, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips, Pondera, Powder River, Powell, Prairie, Roosevelt, Rosebud, Richland, Sheridan, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Toole, Treasure, Valley, Wheatland, and Wibaux Counties make up the complete list of disadvantaged counties. That’s 39 out of a total of 56 counties! The full list of Montana’s 56 counties can be found in the ninth step’s fourth quarter. Organizing in these 39 vulnerable counties are necessary to improve our numbers in Montana. Fortunately, Kathleen Williams’ campaign is prioritizing visiting these areas in a similar manner that was taken in her previous 2018 campaign. Significant effort also needs to be placed in Lake and Cascade Counties, as these two counties split their tickets and voted for Jon Tester and Greg Gianforte in the House and Senate races in 2018.
 
And thus we come the end of this step’s final quarter. The next step will provide a final update on the overall status of the top 5 incumbents to pay attention to, who all have definitely been front and center in the NRCC’s sights. So stay tuned! Any corrections or comments are welcome.
submitted by Watchdogs66 to VoteDEM [link] [comments]


2020.10.19 14:16 ParsnipLow5341 December 2020 expirations -- Any Approvals?

Hi All,
I sent my application back in May and got the notice that they received it on May 19, biometrics will be re-used. My current DACA expires on December 25, 2020. Has anyone with a similar expiration date gotten their approval yet? My paperwork got sent to Nebraska.
Please let me know. Thank you all.
submitted by ParsnipLow5341 to DACA [link] [comments]


2020.10.18 20:49 Watchdogs66 Our "Drive to 245": The Twenty-Fifth Step (Third Quarter)

The Drive To 245: Deprive the GOP In 25
 
In 2014 and with 234 House seats, the NRCC launched the “Drive to 245” campaign for the 2014 midterms, which focused on securing 245 seats for the 114th Congress. At the close of the midterms, they ended up picking up 13 seats, putting their new majority to 247 seats, 2 seats above the goal. For the majority of this election cycle, we had at least 234 House seats to start with, until a turncoat in disguise switched to the GOP in December 2019 (get fucked Jeff Van Drew) and we lost one of our districts in a May 2020 special election (get your act together Christy Smith). Despite these setbacks, getting to 245 seats in the next election is possible for us to achieve, if we are smart about it.
 
In late November 2018, I began by compiling an initial list of 25 potential districts that could give us the necessary gains for us to make the necessary net gain of 10 seats to fulfill our “Drive to 245” campaign goal. I then outlined the state representatives and state senators that we have on our side that live within (or at least represent a good portion of) the identified districts in the second step, which was split into parts one and two. These local officials are often our first line of offense when it comes to selecting appropriate candidates to flip GOP congressional districts, as these people often start out with significant amounts of name recognition (at least compared to most political novices), developed campaign infrastructures, and established donor networks to draw on. In the third step, I explored four different ways that these state representatives and state senators can help promising candidates build a solid platform to flip these 25 districts, even if we are not able to recruit any of these seasoned individuals themselves. I then proceeded to identify every individual local county Democratic organization within in each of these 25 districts to determine how much of a viable network exists towards flipping any of these districts, and whether any of them appear to be fledgling and underfunded, which was split into parts one, two, and three. I then proceeded to draw up rough battle plans to recruit the best candidates that are suitable towards making the necessary gains for the proposed 245 House seats, which I covered in parts one, two, and three. Since then, I updated my list of 25 districts to better reflect the developments that have occurred since November 2018, as well as the candidates from our end that have filed in those districts. After that, I covered updated game plans for the updated 25 districts, which was again split into parts one, two, and three. Another comprehensive update to the list was conducted in early July to account for the GOP retirements, lack of Democratic candidate recruitment for several districts, and other remarkable events that have occurred, all of which have been documented in said update. From there, more detailed plans were made that illustrated the overall status of the Democratic campaigns for each of these districts, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. These plans also highlighted which candidates appeared to have the most organized campaigns for each district, and which ones out of these strongest candidates needed the most assistance in terms of fundraising. Donation plans were also made that could sufficiently help out these struggling candidates, if every active user of this subreddit took part. After that, I provided a detailed plan for defending our 5 most endangered Democratic incumbents for this cycle. I next discussed the different methods that volunteers can help out a campaign, and what good campaigns should provide in such activities to optimize their voter outreach effectiveness, both of which can be found in parts one and two. In October 2019, I then provided another comprehensive review of the 25 districts that are the most likely to flip blue and the ideal strategies to accomplish that goal, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. After that, I provided an update on the overall status of our top 5 most endangered incumbents, and posted a rescue plan to help out the least financially stable campaigns, both of which can be found in this post. My next step provided day-by-day calendars highlighting volunteer events within the targeted 25 districts that helped participants develop vital Democratic infrastructure in those areas. These calendars, which ran from October 31 to January 15, can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. In late January, I gave a third update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. At the start of February 2020, I gave a fresh analysis of the 25 districts with the best chances of going blue, which are provided in parts one, two, three, and four. I then jumped to a day-by-day calendar of volunteer events of congressional campaigns operating throughout the 25 districts, which was originally planned to be released in four parts. However, the quickly deteriorating COVID-19 situation has forced this series to be suspended halfway through this step. The two calendars provided in this step, which ran from February 7 to March 19, can be found here and here. In April 2020, I provided an updated study of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Later in May 2020, I provided another update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle and their performances. I subsequently proceeded in June 2020 to provide a list of the competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that this series targeted or defended, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Starting in late July 2020, I provided an updated perspective of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, all of which were provided in parts one, two, three, and four. Shortly thereafter in August 2020, I provided a fresh update on the campaign status of the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. From there, I supplied a fresh view on the status of our campaigns in competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that was targeted or defended by this series, which was given in parts one, two, three, and four. Next, I provided a calendar highlighting the important dates for the congressional campaigns operating within the 30 districts targeted and defended by this series.
 
This step will provide a final comprehensive review for each of the 25 districts that this series is targeting in the 2020 elections. As of now, the Democratic nominees have been selected for each target district. This review’s main objective is to gauge the progress of each nominee’s general election campaign. During the months that have transpired from the series’ last comprehensive review, excellent overall progress has been made in the target districts, which currently cover regions located throughout fifteen states. These districts are sorted by state, then ordered by priority, which is roughly based on factors such as whether there is an important up-ballot statewide race (Presidential or Senate) to support, the overall flippability of the districts in question, how soon within the 2020 cycle Democratic organization began within these relevant areas, and the overall quality of the Democratic nominees. Given the overall length of these strategies, this step will be split into four quarters. In the first quarter of this step, game plans were elaborated for districts located in Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The second quarter of this step went over the best strategies for districts situated in Texas, Ohio, New York, and Virginia.
This third quarter will describe ideal procedures for flipping target districts in Illinois, Florida, Indiana, and California. For each district, the nominee’s campaign website, the amount of money he or she has raised so far according to the 2020 Q3 reports, and their campaign donation page will be listed. The fundraising numbers of the GOP opponent and an analysis of the Democratic nominee’s campaign will also be provided.
For the special case of the newly added CA-25, a list of individual local county Democratic organizations that this district partially covers will also be included for the district’s section. The fundraising numbers of the Democratic and Republican candidates will only cover the period from June 2 to September 30 in order to provide a more accurate picture of our prospects there.
Some nominees are indicated with a minus or a plus, which indicates the overall quality of their campaign websites according to criteria that was listed in the second half of the eleventh step of this series. All districts listed on this post have their PVI and the bluest rating given by the political pundits at the time of this writing.
 
IL-13 (Rodney Davis, R+3, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Betsy Dirksen Londrigan (+) Fundraising Numbers: $4,383,763 Campaign Website: https://www.betsydirksenlondrigan.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/londriganweb2020
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Rodney Davis: $4,156,056
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan is continuing to run a very strong campaign from her narrow 0.8% loss in her 2018 run, as she is now outraising the GOP incumbent, Rodney Davis. The latest poll for this district show her in a dead heat with Rodney Davis, which is another sign that the race is heading our way. Also, local reports say that infrastructure in Macon County have improved since December 2018. However, quite a few counties still lack significant Democratic support, which include Bond, Calhoun, Champaign, Christian, Greene, Jersey, Montgomery, and Piatt Counties. Organization to expand voter outreach efforts for all of these counties should take place to help improve our margins in this district.
FL-15 (OPEN, R+6, Lean R):
Democratic Nominee: Alan Michael Cohn Fundraising Numbers: $1,560,219 Campaign Website: https://alancohnforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cohn-for-congress-website
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Scott Franklin: $1,105,401
Alan Michael Cohn is definitely someone who should not be underestimated, as he managed to pull out a rather impressive primary victory by tapping into his anti-corruption background and the support network of a lot of progressive organizations. Although he is currently outpacing his GOP opponent Scott Franklin in fundraising, Alan Michael Cohn is currently behind in the district’s latest polls by high single digit margins. Still, his campaign infrastructure is decent and certainly has the ability to close that polling gap in the last weeks of this election cycle. Hillsborough County is a highly important area to organize and win Democratic voters in, as the county also intersects with FL-16.
FL-16 (Vern Buchanan, R+7, Likely R):
Democratic Nominee: Margaret Elizabeth Rowell Good (+) Fundraising Numbers: $2,747,401 Campaign Website: https://margaretgood.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/margaretgood_website
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Vern Buchanan: $2,739,612
Margaret Elizabeth Rowell Good has now fully closed the fundraising gap between herself and the GOP incumbent Vern Buchanan, and is currently slightly outpacing him in that department. However, Vern Buchanan is still clearly leading her in the latest polls by considerable margins. Fortunately, Margaret Elizabeth Rowell Good is employing several strengths in her campaign to keep this race somewhat competitive, which include her top-notch organized campaign website, extensive local roots in the district, and her current role as a sitting State Representative. Once again, I stress the importance of organizing in Hillsborough County, as we can benefit our chances in flipping two districts for the price of energizing one single county.
IN-05 (OPEN, R+9, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Christina Hale Fundraising Numbers: $3,181,208 Campaign Website: https://haleforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/haleweb2020
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Victoria Spartz: $2,374,370
Christina Hale remains ahead of her GOP opponent, Victoria Spartz, in the fundraising department, which will likely stay that way thanks to Pete Buttigieg’s active support to Christina Hale’s campaign. The latest polls for this district show that Christina Hale has established a small but consistent lead over Victoria Spartz. This is consistent with the district’s recent trends, with Joe Donnelly actually winning it in his 2018 Senate campaign and providing us with a theoretical victory map to follow. All of this means that this district is headed for a Democratic takeover if we keep providing grassroots support there. Extra efforts should be made in Blackford, Grant, and Tipton Counties, as the Democratic parties there are underfunded and could use a further boost.
CA-22 (Devin Nunes, R+8, Likely R):
Democratic Nominee: Phil Arballo (+) Fundraising Numbers: $3,971,014 Campaign Website: https://www.philarballo.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/arb_monthly_website
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Devin Nunes: $22,424,339
Seriously, what the hell else is there to say about Devin Nunes, the GOP incumbent? Devin Nunes’ antics during the impeachment inquiry, his pro-Trump obsession, his lawsuits over the past several years, and now his book tour publicity stunt strongly say “enough said”. I have said, at least THIRTEEN times to date, that that I am ashamed that this traitor is a Californian. Unfortunately, Devin Nunes has an eight-figure fundraising advantage against his Democratic challenger, Phil Arballo. This is in spite of the fact that Phil Arballo has raised a respectable seven-figure sum and having a well-organized campaign website. What is worse is that Phil Arballo is behind Devin Nunes in the district’s latest polls by considerable margins. The district might be a dream flip, but I personally think that supporting Phil Arballo is still somewhat useful since it will force Devin Nunes to spend his eight-figure war chest in his own district and not spread his diseased ideals elsewhere.
CA-25 (Mike Garcia, EVEN, Tossup): Los Angeles County: https://www.lacdp.org/ Ventura County: http://www.venturacountydemocrats.com/
Democratic Nominee: Christy Smith Fundraising Numbers: $1,581,763 Campaign Website: https://www.christyforcongress.org/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/christy-for-congress-1-web
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Mike Garcia: $3,839,106
According to several local reports, Christy Smith still has plenty of negatives from the special election debacle, which has left a lot of Democratic donors burned and unwilling to invest in her race. The fact that many of them are seeing her as severely damaged goods has also led her campaign staffers to repeatedly make emphatic promotions for the underpinnings of her strategy this time around. Unfortunately, Christy Smith is being massively outraised by the now-GOP incumbent, Mike Garcia. What is worse is that she is still running behind Mike Garcia in the latest polls for this district. The strategy to win this district this time around involves racking up wide margins among Democrats, women, and Hispanics to counter Garcia’s moderate appeal on the surface. There are still quite a few voters in these groups who remain undecided, and Christy Smith needs to be competitive in the airwaves as well as have a much-improved ground game, which were two of her most prominent weaknesses in the special election. And finally, the national figures such as Biden, Obama, Harris, and Warren need to make a very strong play for Christy Smith immediately, as the mail-in ballots have already been sent to the district’s voters.
 
And thus we come the end of this step’s third quarter. The final quarter will cover optimized tactics for districts within New Jersey, Colorado, Nebraska, and Montana. So stay tuned! Any corrections or comments are welcome.
submitted by Watchdogs66 to VoteDEM [link] [comments]


2020.10.18 19:08 13thSFGArmA3 A3] [Recruiting] [NA/EST] [Casual Milsim] [Varied Settings] - Afghanistan / Iraq The Surge


-The 13th Special Forces Group "The Immortals"-
l Discord: https://discord.gg/JGTEBSN
Looking for a unit where you can expect to be genuinely welcomed and included, rather than treated as a roster filler and ignored? Look no further!
The 13th Special Forces Group is a small community of ArmA 3 players that provide a realistic yet casual ArmA experience. We are comprised of members from varying backgrounds and units, and just seek to have a good time and play the game, without the strict emphasis on Milsim. We mostly specialize in Spec Ops missions, but depending on the mod and scenario, will sometimes perform different roles. Were looking for all kinds of players, with no experience required.
While most of our players live in the U.S. we have players from across the globe who join us.
-When are your OPs?-
Our campaign operations take place every Tuesday and Sunday, usually starting at 7 PM EST and running for about 2 hours, at that particular operations Zeuses discretion. We usually host an unrelated one shot mission on Friday, set in the same modlist just as a different faction. There might be an extra one off for fun, or something of the sorts, occasionally on other days. We also have an ongoing post apocalyptic RP campaign that is played every other Saturday. All events and their times will be posted in our Discord beforehand, to allow our members enough time and notice to get things in order.
-What mod/setting do you specialize in?-
Members of our unit have played them all, but we don't have one set setting. From WW2 all the way to Operation Trebuchet or beyond, no setting is off limits. We will hop from campaign setting to campaign setting, all depending on what our player base wants and votes for. All players are welcome to suggest their ideas and hopes for future missions. Some of our recent ops include
-Fictional U.S. Border war with a militant cartel
-Rhodesian Bush War
13th SFG Ready to Hunt Members of ZANU. 1969, Colorized
I know how to drive. 1970, Colorized.
13th SFG Executes an Ambush Against a ZANLA Convoy. Date Classified, Colorized.
-Modern Day Russian Invasion of Ukraine
13th SFG Night Infiltration.
13th SFG Destroys a Tank Depot.
Group Photo with BRRRRRTTTTTTTTT.
Debrief After a Tough Fight.
-U.S. Invasion of Italy in 1943
13th SFG Paratroops Await The Fleet After a Night of Hell. 1943, Colorized.
The Fleet Arrives. 1943, colorized.
Cassino Town, With a Custom Zeus Made Monte Cassino in the Distance. 1943, Colorized.
13th SFG Americans, British and Polish After Having Taken the Abbey of Monte Cassino. 1943, Colorized.
13th SFG Victory Parade After Victory in Rome. 1943, Colorized.
-U.S. intervention in Vietnam
13th SFG After a NVA Counter Assault. 1968, Colorized.
13th SFG Heads Up "The Devil's Dirt Road" after a Hellish Patrol. 1968, Colorized.
13th SFG Patrol Reacting to a Call For Aid From A Frontline Unit. 1968, Colorized.
13th SFG Poses For a Picture After a Brutal Night Holding the Line. 1968, Colorized.
13th SFG poses for a picture after defending the last U.S. base in Vietnam. 1970, colorized.
-​Russian invasion of Middle America. (Red Dawn)
13th SFG Members pose for a photo after a successful raid on two Soviet Occupied Towns. 1984.
A 13th SFG member, in a stolen Soviet Ghillie suit, engages targets at a POW camp. 1984.
13th SFG Members driving a stolen Soviet UAZ. Thinking of better times. 1984.
13th SFG Members in stolen Soviet uniforms, after a successful prison break. 1984.
13th SFG Members prepare to land behind Soviet lines and attack a chemical weapons plants. 1984.
13th SFG Members after the chemical weapons plant blows. "Gas, Gas, Gas!" 1984.
13th SFG Members defend a downed Blackhawk in the irradiated wasteland of Omaha, Nebraska. 1984.
-​101st Airborne from D-Day through the end of WW2.
13thSFG members take part in the German Blitzkrieg during the 1939 invasion of Poland during a One Off mission. 1939, Colorized.
13th SFG Members in the "duct-taped together killing machines" as Libyan Desert Taxi Service. 1942, Colorized.
13th SFG Members of the Libyan Desert Taxi Service after taking a German airfield outside of Al Alamein. 1942, Colorized.
13th SFG paratroopers, loaded in C-47s, wait for the go ahead to take off for the long flight to France. The first, and for some, last jump of the war. 1944, Colorized.
13th SFG paratroopers lost, trying to figure out where their pilot dropped them on D-Day. 1944, Colorized.
13th SFG members bodies, scattered along the beaches of Normandy as the bloody first wave desperately attempts to gain ground on D-Day. 1944, Colorized.
Paratroopers from the 13th SFG rendezvous with American tanks rolling off the beach on D-day. 1944, Colorized.
A stubborn man from Texas, LTC Cole leads the 13th SFG in a charge across a smoke filled field to take out a German encampment. 1944, Colorized.
13th SFG soldiers hold Hill 30 from a German counter attacked. Fighting persisted until a runner was able to locate and direct members of the U.S. 2ND Armored Division to relieve them. 1944. Colorized.
A XXX Corp tank cooks off from a single shot from a German Tiger, as members of the 13th SFG look on in horror. 1944, colorized.
13th SFG CO looks on in horror as the crew of the Sherman he was just talking to burns in front of him. 1944, colorized.
13th SFG members rush across the remade Son Bridge during Market Garden. 1944, Colorized.
13th SFG forces at Arnham look out across the Rhine, knowing they are surrounded and relief is days away. 1944, Colorized.
Surrounded British forces at Arnham discuss surrender with a German envoy. British commander- "We haven't the proper facilities to take you all prisoner." 1944, Colorized.
13th SFG finds and rescues members of the trapped British 1st Airborne. 1944, Colorized.
13th SFG members rushing to eliminate a German artillery position during the Battle of the Bulge. 1944, Colorzied.
13th SFG members on their way to reinforce overwhelmed US positions, knowing they will be surrounded. 1944, Colorized.
13th SFG fighters engage a German ME-109 over the English Channel during a late war bombing mission. 1944, Colorized.
Russian soldiers and a flag bearer pose at the bottom of the Reichstag in Berlin. 1945, Colorized Modern day WW3
CIA kill team in a classified location. 2028.
CIA team, captured, interrogated, and killed on international broadcast. 2028.
Ukrainian National Guard holding out on top of the Vitaly Gregor Regional Hospital as Russian forces surrounded them. These men were all dead within the hour. 2028
13th SFG Vietnam P2 Electric Boogaloo
13th SFG as 1st Infantry patrolling rice fields.
1st Infantry taking a photo after a successful village raid!
Marines take a photo after the battle of Hue City
1st Infantry Squad after a long day of battling and being seperated.
SFG Fallout
NCR Troopers Poses With A Cult Monument
13th SFG NCR Rangers Clearing A Path For The Rest
13th SFG Patrolling
We're always looking at future settings we would love to have your input on!
-How restrictive/serious are you?-
Overall, we are very casual as a unit. We do have a chain of command, to deal with issues that arise and maintain the server, but the highest a set rank goes in an operation is Squad Lead, with Zeus's acting as platoon lead and command. Our load outs are not restrictive either, the only thing we will restrict you to is to period appropriate pool of weapons, uniforms, etc. so you will have the ability to have a lot of customization for your load outs. We don't have a white-list or restricted mods, because personal choice is important. Want to see more blood from enemies you kill? Turn on a blood mod. Want to turn on JSRS to get a more immersive soundscape? Go ahead. We only ask that you don't put on mods that will hinder the enjoyment of others or give an unfair advantage.
-Is there an attendance or training requirement?-
No, we understand real life comes first. Show up when you can.
We offer training if you need or want it, from a refresher course all the way to specialized squad tactics, weapons training, or anything else ArmA offers, but there is no required training. You don't have to do push-ups and run an obstacle course while a 14 year old makes you call him sir.
-Do you offer anything other than infantry game play?-
While we do not have dedicated slots for pilots, tankers, or others, any member who shows willingness or aptitude is free to take those slots on individual operations where we do have them.
So what are you waiting for? Come join today! Hop in the Discord and ask any questions you have!
l Discord: https://discord.gg/JGTEBSN
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2020.10.17 17:30 Watchdogs66 Our "Drive to 245": The Twenty-Fifth Step (Second Quarter)

The Drive To 245: Deprive the GOP In 25
 
In 2014 and with 234 House seats, the NRCC launched the “Drive to 245” campaign for the 2014 midterms, which focused on securing 245 seats for the 114th Congress. At the close of the midterms, they ended up picking up 13 seats, putting their new majority to 247 seats, 2 seats above the goal. For the majority of this election cycle, we had at least 234 House seats to start with, until a turncoat in disguise switched to the GOP in December 2019 (get fucked Jeff Van Drew) and we lost one of our districts in a May 2020 special election (get your act together Christy Smith). Despite these setbacks, getting to 245 seats in the next election is possible for us to achieve, if we are smart about it.
 
In late November 2018, I began by compiling an initial list of 25 potential districts that could give us the necessary gains for us to make the necessary net gain of 10 seats to fulfill our “Drive to 245” campaign goal. I then outlined the state representatives and state senators that we have on our side that live within (or at least represent a good portion of) the identified districts in the second step, which was split into parts one and two. These local officials are often our first line of offense when it comes to selecting appropriate candidates to flip GOP congressional districts, as these people often start out with significant amounts of name recognition (at least compared to most political novices), developed campaign infrastructures, and established donor networks to draw on. In the third step, I explored four different ways that these state representatives and state senators can help promising candidates build a solid platform to flip these 25 districts, even if we are not able to recruit any of these seasoned individuals themselves. I then proceeded to identify every individual local county Democratic organization within in each of these 25 districts to determine how much of a viable network exists towards flipping any of these districts, and whether any of them appear to be fledgling and underfunded, which was split into parts one, two, and three. I then proceeded to draw up rough battle plans to recruit the best candidates that are suitable towards making the necessary gains for the proposed 245 House seats, which I covered in parts one, two, and three. Since then, I updated my list of 25 districts to better reflect the developments that have occurred since November 2018, as well as the candidates from our end that have filed in those districts. After that, I covered updated game plans for the updated 25 districts, which was again split into parts one, two, and three. Another comprehensive update to the list was conducted in early July to account for the GOP retirements, lack of Democratic candidate recruitment for several districts, and other remarkable events that have occurred, all of which have been documented in said update. From there, more detailed plans were made that illustrated the overall status of the Democratic campaigns for each of these districts, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. These plans also highlighted which candidates appeared to have the most organized campaigns for each district, and which ones out of these strongest candidates needed the most assistance in terms of fundraising. Donation plans were also made that could sufficiently help out these struggling candidates, if every active user of this subreddit took part. After that, I provided a detailed plan for defending our 5 most endangered Democratic incumbents for this cycle. I next discussed the different methods that volunteers can help out a campaign, and what good campaigns should provide in such activities to optimize their voter outreach effectiveness, both of which can be found in parts one and two. In October 2019, I then provided another comprehensive review of the 25 districts that are the most likely to flip blue and the ideal strategies to accomplish that goal, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. After that, I provided an update on the overall status of our top 5 most endangered incumbents, and posted a rescue plan to help out the least financially stable campaigns, both of which can be found in this post. My next step provided day-by-day calendars highlighting volunteer events within the targeted 25 districts that helped participants develop vital Democratic infrastructure in those areas. These calendars, which ran from October 31 to January 15, can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. In late January, I gave a third update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. At the start of February 2020, I gave a fresh analysis of the 25 districts with the best chances of going blue, which are provided in parts one, two, three, and four. I then jumped to a day-by-day calendar of volunteer events of congressional campaigns operating throughout the 25 districts, which was originally planned to be released in four parts. However, the quickly deteriorating COVID-19 situation has forced this series to be suspended halfway through this step. The two calendars provided in this step, which ran from February 7 to March 19, can be found here and here. In April 2020, I provided an updated study of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Later in May 2020, I provided another update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle and their performances. I subsequently proceeded in June 2020 to provide a list of the competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that this series targeted or defended, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Starting in late July 2020, I provided an updated perspective of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, all of which were provided in parts one, two, three, and four. Shortly thereafter in August 2020, I provided a fresh update on the campaign status of the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. From there, I supplied a fresh view on the status of our campaigns in competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that was targeted or defended by this series, which was given in parts one, two, three, and four. Next, I provided a calendar highlighting the important dates for the congressional campaigns operating within the 30 districts targeted and defended by this series.
 
This step will provide a final comprehensive review for each of the 25 districts that this series is targeting in the 2020 elections. As of now, the Democratic nominees have been selected for each target district. This review’s main objective is to gauge the progress of each nominee’s general election campaign. During the months that have transpired from the series’ last comprehensive review, excellent overall progress has been made in the target districts, which currently cover regions located throughout fifteen states. These districts are sorted by state, then ordered by priority, which is roughly based on factors such as whether there is an important up-ballot statewide race (Presidential or Senate) to support, the overall flippability of the districts in question, how soon within the 2020 cycle Democratic organization began within these relevant areas, and the overall quality of the Democratic nominees. Given the overall length of these strategies, this step will be split into four quarters. In the first quarter of this step, game plans were elaborated for districts located in Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
This second quarter will go over the best strategies to follow for districts situated in Texas, Ohio, New York, and Virginia. For each district, the nominee’s campaign website, the amount of money he or she has raised so far according to the 2020 Q3 reports, and their campaign donation page will be listed. The fundraising numbers of the GOP opponent and an analysis of the Democratic nominee’s campaign will also be provided.
Some nominees are indicated with a minus or a plus, which indicates the overall quality of their campaign websites according to criteria that was listed in the second half of the eleventh step of this series. If a hash symbol (#) is indicated next to a candidate’s fundraising haul, it means that the figure was taken from the raw 2020 Q3 electronic filings for the candidate’s campaign committee. Fundraising figures from raw filings are not always up to date, meaning that they should be treated with caution. All districts listed on this post have their PVI and the bluest rating given by the political pundits at the time of this writing.
 
TX-10 (Michael McCaul, R+9, Lean R):
Democratic Nominee: Mike Siegel (+) Fundraising Numbers: $1,953,616 Campaign Website: https://siegelfortexas.org/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/siegel-for-congress
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Michael McCaul: $3,334,483
Mike Siegel is still running behind the GOP incumbent, Michael McCaul, in terms of fundraising. What further complicates things is that Mike Siegel came off of a lengthy runoff that shortened his general election campaign time, leaving him behind Michael McCaul in the latest polls for this district. However, his campaign website is pretty well organized in recruiting volunteers, and he is actively reaching out to help voters that have been affected by the COVID-19 crisis. Additionally, we do have some promising signs that the district could flip our way, as recent reports have indicated that Democratic efforts in Colorado County have improved, with the Democratic county party there having secured more footholds and support than it did in August 2019. The priority right now is to improve voter outreach in several high impact counties that the district at least partially covers. For starters, Harris and Travis Counties are critical areas to organize, as both of these counties overlap with multiple districts that are covered in this series. Harris County has covers parts of TX-22, while Travis County covers areas of TX-21, and volunteering in those areas would help us flip multiple districts in Texas for the same amount of effort. Efforts in Lee and Waller Counties should also get some sizable assistance as the local Democratic parties in these areas continue to be underfunded (or at least lacking in the latest web design).
TX-21 (Chip Roy, R+10, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Wendy Davis (+) Fundraising Numbers: $7,809,356 Campaign Website: https://www.wendydavisforcongress.com Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/dav_website
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Chip Roy: $4,186,407
Wendy Davis has continued to raise obscene sums of money over the past several months, and is vastly outraising the GOP incumbent Chip Roy. Her website is pretty well organized with respect to recruiting volunteers, and she was a former state senator, so she definitely has gone full speed ahead with her campaign. However, the latest polls for this district show her slightly behind Chip Roy. Still, I am rather keen to see if she can kick out Chip Roy, who definitely needs to go because of his efforts to continuously block various bipartisan efforts such as disaster aid and the coronavirus response bill. Oh, and his stunts that he pulled in the name of supporting the House Freedom Caucus is just horrible. Like TX-10, the district has several high impact counties where we should step up our organization. Bexar and Travis Counties cover regions in TX-23 and TX-10 respectively, making them ideal for improving our odds in multiple districts for the same amount of work. Organization should also focus on Bandera and Real Counties, as the Democratic county party organizations are underfunded and could use some grassroots support.
TX-22 (OPEN, R+10, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Sri Preston Kulkarni (+) Fundraising Numbers: $4,671,339 (#) Campaign Website: https://sri2020.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/kulkarniforcongress
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Troy Nehls: $1,343,215
Sri Preston Kulkarni’s campaign is definitely a lot more professional this time around. For one, his website has a well-organized place for potential volunteers to sign up. For another, his campaign is getting volunteers to reach out to voters in over 15 languages, which is really helpful in bringing out the Asian vote at record levels, which is necessary to improve our margins in the Sugar Land area. There is also the fact that the GOP nominee, Troy Nehls, is drained of resources from the expensive runoff, which gives Sri Preston Kulkarni a head start in the general election. And finally, Sri Preston Kulkarni is tied with Troy Nehls in the latest polls for this district. I once again stress the importance of Harris County, as it also covers parts of TX-10, giving us the benefit of improving our chances in flipping two districts for the price of organizing in one county.
TX-23 (OPEN, R+1, Lean D):
Democratic Nominee: Gina Ortiz Jones (-) Fundraising Numbers: $5,754,382 Campaign Website: https://ginaortizjones.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/ginaortizjones
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Tony Gonzales: $1,160,880
Gina Ortiz Jones is continuing to raise huge sums of money for her campaign. This is perhaps the easiest pickup on our end for this cycle, if we do not count those from the North Carolina redistricting victories. The main focus for this district is to volunteer and improve our voter outreach as much as possible. Local reports say that infrastructure in El Paso County and Maverick County have improved since January 2019. However, every other county in the district except Bexar County (which should also be focused on to provide additional support for TX-21) and Medina County has an underfunded Democratic county party, meaning that grassroots efforts are heavily needed to revitalize these corresponding areas. An additional factor in our favor is that the GOP nominee, Tony Gonzales, got off of a bloody recount that has drained him of resources and campaign time. As a result of all of this, Gina Ortiz Jones has established a clear lead over Tony Gonzales in the most recent polls for this district. So provided that we can focus our grassroots efforts in the areas where the infrastructure is weak, the district should turn blue this time around.
TX-24 (OPEN, R+9, Lean D):
Democratic Nominee: Candace Valenzuela Fundraising Numbers: $3,561,892 Campaign Website: https://candacefor24.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cd24
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Beth Van Duyne: $2,648,410
Candace Valenzuela is now significantly outraising the GOP candidate Beth Van Duyne. That in itself is a small yet notable victory, considering that Beth Van Duyne is one of the GOP candidates that the national Republicans are pushing hard for, as she is branding herself as one of the members of the “Conservative Squad”, who was highly touted by Fox News in late 2019. Candace Valenzuela is running neck and neck with Beth Van Duyne, according to the latest polls conducted for this district. Finally, Candace Valenzuela is widely viewed to be on the progressive wing of the Democratic challengers that have been nominated this cycle. All of this means that turning out the Democratic base is the top priority here, as this particular race will be one of the most nationalized congressional elections in this year’s cycle.
OH-01 (Steve Chabot, R+5, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Kate Schroder (-) Fundraising Numbers: $3,173,089 Campaign Website: https://www.kateforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/k4c-site
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Steve Chabot: $2,717,307
This particular race has significantly moved our way, as Kate Schroder is now outraising the GOP incumbent Steve Chabot. The most recent polls in this district have indicated that the race is now a dead heat. There’s also the fact that Steve Chabot’s former campaign consultant has been under investigation since last year for stealing campaign funds, which has given us more openings for this particular district. However, Kate Schroder’s volunteer page has declined in quality since it now redirects to her campaign’s MoblizeAmerica page, which is far less professional in signing up volunteers, in my opinion. At this point, the main objective for Kate Schroder is to continue to increase her name recognition and inform the electorate about her background, as an early DCCC general election poll indicated that voters were more likely to support Kate Schroder if she did so.
NY-01 (Lee Zeldin, R+5, Lean R):
Democratic Nominee: Nancy Goroff (+) Fundraising Numbers: $5,400,156 Campaign Website: https://www.goroffforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/goroff-website
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Lee Zeldin: $7,065,195
This district is certainly going to be very expensive to compete in, as Nancy Goroff has raised a very sizable seven-figure sum. However, she is still behind the GOP incumbent, Lee Zeldin, by over $1.7 million in fundraising, although that gap has slightly closed since the last comprehensive review. Recent polls suggest that Lee Zeldin still has a clear advantage, although it is certainly in the single digits. Local reports say that the Democrats in that particular district have quickly united against Lee Zeldin and directed appropriate support and voter outreach in the areas that are receptive to Nancy Goroff’s messaging. Nancy Goroff’s volunteer page has also improved over the past several months, as it now includes a space listing specific activities that potential volunteers can choose to engage in. Suffolk County is a very important county to concentrate voter outreach efforts on, as it overlaps with NY-02.
NY-02 (OPEN, R+3, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Jacqueline Gordon Fundraising Numbers: $3,550,230 Campaign Website: https://jackiegordonforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/jackiegordonsite
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Andrew Garbarino: $1,260,624
This race has a surprisingly high victory potential for us. Jacqueline Gordon has a lot of potential as a Babylon Town Councilmember, a veteran, and a woman of color, meaning that she possesses a strong ability to turn out the minority vote as well as well-established political connections. Her GOP opponent, Andrew Garbarino, is experienced some slight delays in getting his campaign off the ground due to his state Assembly duties as well as some coordination issues with Peter King, the district’s current (and retiring) GOP incumbent. Garbarino’s kickoff did not start until August, which gave us a slight head start in making our case to the district’s voters. Another advantage that we have is that Jacqueline Gordon is currently blowing away Andrew Garbarino in the fundraising department. However, her campaign volunteer page has slightly deteriorated over the past several months, as it connects potential volunteers to her MoblizeAmerica page, which is less efficient in signing up potential volunteers, in my opinion. I would like to repeat the emphasis that efforts should be made to organize in Suffolk County, since that county also covers parts of NY-01.
NY-24 (John Katko, D+3, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Dana Balter Fundraising Numbers: $2,443,168 Campaign Website: https://electdanabalter.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/balter-website
GOP Fundraising Numbers: John Katko: $3,329,771
Dana Balter is still being outraised by the GOP incumbent, John Katko, although the cumulative fundraising gap has slightly closed since the series’ last comprehensive review. The volunteer page on her campaign website has also slightly deteriorated since then, as it also now connects to a customized MobilizeAmerica webpage, which is less efficient in signing up potential volunteers, in my opinion. However, Democratic internal polling shows that Dana Balter is currently running close with John Katko. In this particular Democrat-leaning district, voter persuasion is going to be very important, as there are thousands of voters in this district who are currently plan to split the ticket between Joe Biden and John Katko in November. This finding, which has been confirmed in several polls conducted for this district, means that we should focus our voter persuasion efforts in Auburn, Syracuse, and Skaneateles, as that is where most of these split-ticket voters are located in. Additional outreach efforts should also be concentrated on strengthening our base in Cayuga County, as the local Democratic party there is relatively weak in funding.
VA-05 (OPEN, R+6, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Bryant Cameron Webb (+) Fundraising Numbers: $4,077,969 Campaign Website: https://www.drcameronwebb.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/cameronwebb
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Robert Good: $984,809
Oh boy, has this race quickly received a lot of recent attention, as all of the stars seem to be aligning in this particular race. First of all, there is a divided GOP electorate from the nominating convention that ejected the district’s incumbent, Denver Riggleman, from the nomination. Next, Bryant Cameron Webb has some serious potential of supercharging the minority vote in Charlottesville and Albemarle County. Then, Robert Good, the GOP candidate, is at a serious disadvantage when it comes to fundraising, as his cumulative fundraising figures remain much lower than Bryant Cameron Webb’s are. Also, the most recent polling for this district indicates that Bryant Cameron Webb is running very close to Robert Good. Finally, recent reports say that the Democratic infrastructure in Appomattox and Campbell Counties have improved since January 2019. Our primary goal in this district should be to increase our voter outreach efforts, as quite a few Democratic county parties are underfunded and in need of grassroots support. These counties are Brunswick, Buckingham, Cumberland, Danville City, Halifax, Lunenburg, and Prince Edward Counties. Needless to say, there is a lot of work cut out for us to flip a solid red district that voted for Corey Stewart in 2018.
 
And thus we come the end of this step’s second quarter. The third quarter will describe ideal procedures for flipping target districts in Illinois, Florida, Indiana, and California. After that, the final quarter will cover optimized tactics for districts within New Jersey, Colorado, Nebraska, and Montana. So stay tuned! Any corrections or comments are welcome.
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2020.10.17 01:33 Watchdogs66 Our "Drive to 245": The Twenty-Fifth Step (First Quarter)

The Drive To 245: Deprive the GOP In 25
 
In 2014 and with 234 House seats, the NRCC launched the “Drive to 245” campaign for the 2014 midterms, which focused on securing 245 seats for the 114th Congress. At the close of the midterms, they ended up picking up 13 seats, putting their new majority to 247 seats, 2 seats above the goal. For the majority of this election cycle, we had at least 234 House seats to start with, until a turncoat in disguise switched to the GOP in December 2019 (get fucked Jeff Van Drew) and we lost one of our districts in a May 2020 special election (get your act together Christy Smith). Despite these setbacks, getting to 245 seats in the next election is possible for us to achieve, if we are smart about it.
 
In late November 2018, I began by compiling an initial list of 25 potential districts that could give us the necessary gains for us to make the necessary net gain of 10 seats to fulfill our “Drive to 245” campaign goal. I then outlined the state representatives and state senators that we have on our side that live within (or at least represent a good portion of) the identified districts in the second step, which was split into parts one and two. These local officials are often our first line of offense when it comes to selecting appropriate candidates to flip GOP congressional districts, as these people often start out with significant amounts of name recognition (at least compared to most political novices), developed campaign infrastructures, and established donor networks to draw on. In the third step, I explored four different ways that these state representatives and state senators can help promising candidates build a solid platform to flip these 25 districts, even if we are not able to recruit any of these seasoned individuals themselves. I then proceeded to identify every individual local county Democratic organization within in each of these 25 districts to determine how much of a viable network exists towards flipping any of these districts, and whether any of them appear to be fledgling and underfunded, which was split into parts one, two, and three. I then proceeded to draw up rough battle plans to recruit the best candidates that are suitable towards making the necessary gains for the proposed 245 House seats, which I covered in parts one, two, and three. Since then, I updated my list of 25 districts to better reflect the developments that have occurred since November 2018, as well as the candidates from our end that have filed in those districts. After that, I covered updated game plans for the updated 25 districts, which was again split into parts one, two, and three. Another comprehensive update to the list was conducted in early July to account for the GOP retirements, lack of Democratic candidate recruitment for several districts, and other remarkable events that have occurred, all of which have been documented in said update. From there, more detailed plans were made that illustrated the overall status of the Democratic campaigns for each of these districts, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. These plans also highlighted which candidates appeared to have the most organized campaigns for each district, and which ones out of these strongest candidates needed the most assistance in terms of fundraising. Donation plans were also made that could sufficiently help out these struggling candidates, if every active user of this subreddit took part. After that, I provided a detailed plan for defending our 5 most endangered Democratic incumbents for this cycle. I next discussed the different methods that volunteers can help out a campaign, and what good campaigns should provide in such activities to optimize their voter outreach effectiveness, both of which can be found in parts one and two. In October 2019, I then provided another comprehensive review of the 25 districts that are the most likely to flip blue and the ideal strategies to accomplish that goal, which can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. After that, I provided an update on the overall status of our top 5 most endangered incumbents, and posted a rescue plan to help out the least financially stable campaigns, both of which can be found in this post. My next step provided day-by-day calendars highlighting volunteer events within the targeted 25 districts that helped participants develop vital Democratic infrastructure in those areas. These calendars, which ran from October 31 to January 15, can be found in parts one, two, three, and four. In late January, I gave a third update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. At the start of February 2020, I gave a fresh analysis of the 25 districts with the best chances of going blue, which are provided in parts one, two, three, and four. I then jumped to a day-by-day calendar of volunteer events of congressional campaigns operating throughout the 25 districts, which was originally planned to be released in four parts. However, the quickly deteriorating COVID-19 situation has forced this series to be suspended halfway through this step. The two calendars provided in this step, which ran from February 7 to March 19, can be found here and here. In April 2020, I provided an updated study of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Later in May 2020, I provided another update on the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle and their performances. I subsequently proceeded in June 2020 to provide a list of the competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that this series targeted or defended, which was delivered in parts one, two, three, and four. Starting in late July 2020, I provided an updated perspective of the 25 districts with the highest chances of flipping as well as the optimal strategies for each of these districts, all of which were provided in parts one, two, three, and four. Shortly thereafter in August 2020, I provided a fresh update on the campaign status of the top 5 incumbents to defend this cycle. From there, I supplied a fresh view on the status of our campaigns in competitive state house and state senate districts that overlapped one of the 30 congressional districts that was targeted or defended by this series, which was given in parts one, two, three, and four. Next, I provided a calendar highlighting the important dates for the congressional campaigns operating within the 30 districts targeted and defended by this series.
 
This step will provide a final comprehensive review for each of the 25 districts that this series is targeting in the 2020 elections. As of now, the Democratic nominees have been selected for each target district. This review’s main objective is to gauge the progress of each nominee’s general election campaign.
Before this step proceeds to the official review, however, an important change to the list of 25 targeted districts will be announced, as well as the reasoning. Back in the beginning of the sixteenth step of this series, I announced that there would be no further changes to the list of target districts. The one exception that I gave to that statement was if any of the eventual Democratic nominees were found to have a serious scandal. This was fortunately not the case for any of the nominees running in the districts targeted in this series. The reasoning behind the announcement was that there was very little time to get newly added districts up to speed with the needed information, infrastructure, and grassroots support to provide them with realistic chances of success. I believed that my “expertise” would be better served by further expanding the knowledge that I have acquired in these 25 districts, as the great majority of the gains that are needed to get to 245 House seats in January 2021 would come from these districts.
However, several unique circumstances have occurred since then which have compelled me to make an exception to this announcement, which I will explain in the below sections. As with previous instances where changes to the target list were made, I've maintained the number of districts to a constant 25 to keep to the mnemonic listed in the title.
 
No longer on the list:
TX-31 (John Carter, R+10, Likely R): The Democratic nominee, Donna Imam, has posted some very lackluster fundraising numbers, with her total fundraising haul currently at $762,706. All of the other Democratic nominees in this series have cumulatively raised solid seven figure sums, which is generally the baseline for a winning congressional campaign to achieve. Several reports that I consulted have revealed that Donna Imam’s campaign is exceedingly disorganized. The infrastructure that MJ Hegar built in her 2018 run there is not getting translated to Donna Imam, since the Senate race against John Cornyn is getting all of the political oxygen there. Also, several Democratic operatives in TX-31 are frustrated with Donna Imam’s erratic campaign decisions, lack of steady communication channels, and inconsistent messaging. They have complained about the campaign’s substandard voter outreach efforts, social media handling, and participation in key local organizations. Several of them have decided to triage this district and take their efforts to TX-10 and TX-21. The district that I will be adding to replace TX-31 needs more of our attention and support at present at once, and I do not think that there will be too many objections to this late change.
New districts added to the list:
CA-25 (Mike Garcia, EVEN, Tossup): There has been a lot of criticism and frustration directed at Christy Smith, the Democratic nominee for this district, as well as the Los Angeles County Democrats and Ventura County Democrats for their poor organizational efforts. I provided a litany of the mistakes which were made in the special election, and caused us to lose a ton a momentum that we painstakingly built since the 2018 midterm elections. Unfortunately, several months of deep diving in this district have revealed that not all of these problems have been resolved as of now. Christy Smith is viewed as damaged goods among a good number of Democratic donors and operatives because of the magnitude of her loss in a district that went for Clinton by 6.7 points in 2016. She was significantly outraised by Mike Garcia in the quarterly reports that have been released since the special election, and the local organizational groups, especially the Los Angeles County Democrats and the Ventura County Democrats, are still operating at substandard levels. Because of all of this, Christy Smith is still running behind Mike Garcia in the polls. Unless Christy Smith receives additional assistance and coordination, which adding this district to the series’ target list will help provide, we will lose this district in November as well.
 
So now that the change to the list has been announced and explained, this step will now begin the final comprehensive review for the 25 districts that are currently on this series’ target list. During the months that have transpired from the series’ last comprehensive review, excellent overall progress has been made in the target districts, which currently cover regions located throughout fifteen states. These districts are sorted by state, then ordered by priority, which is roughly based on factors such as whether there is an important up-ballot statewide race (Presidential or Senate) to support, the overall flippability of the districts in question, how soon within the 2020 cycle Democratic organization began within these relevant areas, and the overall quality of the Democratic nominees. Given the overall length of these strategies, this step will be split into four quarters.
In the first quarter of this step, game plans will be elaborated for districts located in Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. For each district, the nominee’s campaign website, the amount of money he or she has raised so far according to the 2020 Q3 reports, and their campaign donation page will be listed. The fundraising numbers of the GOP opponent and an analysis of the Democratic nominee’s campaign will also be provided.
Some nominees are indicated with a minus or a plus, which indicates the overall quality of their campaign websites according to criteria that was listed in the second half of the eleventh step of this series. If a hash symbol (#) is indicated next to a candidate’s fundraising haul, it means that the figure was taken from the raw 2020 Q3 electronic filings for the candidate’s campaign committee. Fundraising figures from raw filings are not always up to date, meaning that they should be treated with caution. All districts listed on this post have their PVI and the bluest rating given by the political pundits at the time of this writing.
 
GA-07 (OPEN, R+9, Lean D):
Democratic Nominee: Carolyn Bourdeaux (+) Fundraising Numbers: $4,169,721 Campaign Website: https://www.carolyn4congress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/carolyn_website
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Richard McCormick: $2,168,122
Carolyn Bourdeaux continues to raise an impressive amount of money for her second run and is very well-positioned to flip the district. Her website is also well organized with respect to recruiting volunteers, especially for those wishing to participate in canvassing and phone banks. The most recent polling shows Carolyn Bourdeaux slightly leading in the polls against her opponent, Richard McCormick, which is another good sign. This district is an important one for us, since it is not only one of our most likely pick-ups, but also helps boosts Democratic turnout up the ballot for the two Senate races that are taking place this cycle, as well as helping us put Georgia in the presidential blue column for the first time since 1992!
MI-03 (OPEN, R+6, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Hillary Scholten (+) Fundraising Numbers: $2,510,892 Campaign Website: https://www.hillaryscholten.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/helphillary
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Peter Meijer: $2,664,444 (#)
Hillary Scholten is definitely getting some serious fundraising strength and has continued to build up momentum over the past several months. Her campaign is up to the point that it can be truly competitive with that of her GOP opponent, Peter Meijer, although she is currently trailing him in the latest polling. Definitely consider supporting Hillary Scholten’s campaign, as we need the turnout boost from a traditionally conservative area to help improve our chance of winning the Presidential and Senate races there. Organizational efforts should concentrate towards Ionia and Montcalm Counties, as the local Democratic Party counties there are underfunded and could use some support from the grassroots.
MI-06 (Fred Upton, R+4, Lean R):
Democratic Nominee: Jon Hoadley (+) Fundraising Numbers: $2,425,505 Campaign Website: https://jonhoadley.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/website-form
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Fred Upton: $3,028,491 (#)
Jon Hoadley is a fairly good candidate, as he is a current State Representative and has posted solid fundraising numbers. He also has a very well designed website for attracting and recruiting volunteers. However, his ground game, get-out-the-vote operations, and name recognition still needs work, as his performance in the Democratic primary was rather underwhelming. He is also trailing the GOP incumbent for this district, Fred Upton, by a considerable amount in the latest polls. According to recent reports, Democratic efforts in St. Joseph County have improved, with the Democratic county party there being much more funded and developed than it was in December 2018. This is a good thing, as we need every boost that we can get in Michigan for the Presidential and Senate races there.
PA-01 (Brian Fitzpatrick, R+1, Lean R):
Democratic Nominee: Christina Finello (+) Fundraising Numbers: $1,425,176 Campaign Website: https://www.finelloforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/christina-finello
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Brian Fitzpatrick: $3,780,911 (#)
We are working behind the eight ball for this district due to the chaos of several Democratic candidates dropping out of the race earlier in the cycle. Christina Finello’s main disadvantage in her campaign against the GOP incumbent, Brian Fitzpatrick, is of course the fundraising gap. Fortunately, Christina Finello’s campaign has narrowed the gap in the past several months, as it managed to outraise Brian Fitzpatrick’s campaign in the Q3 period. However, she is still trailing Brian Fitzpatrick by a noticable margin in the latest polls. Adding to the district’s strategic importance is that PA-01 is located in a crucial area for turning Pennsylvania back to blue in the 2020 presidential election.
PA-10 (Scott Perry, R+6, Tossup):
Democratic Nominee: Eugene DePasquale (+) Fundraising Numbers: $3,345,492 Campaign Website: https://eugeneforcongress.com/ Donation Page: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/depasquale-for-pa-1
GOP Fundraising Numbers: Scott Perry: $3,237,416 (#)
The Democratic nominee, Eugene DePasquale, is now leading the GOP incumbent, Scott Perry, in the cumulative fundraising and the polling departments. In order for this district to get to the Lean D category (which I believe that it has a real shot of reaching by the end of this month), Eugene DePasquale needs to ramp up volunteer efforts in Dauphin County, as that is where he posted his weakest numbers in the June primary. Another reason why PA-10 should be front and center of our radars is that the district itself another crucial area that we need to close the GOP margins in order to turn Pennsylvania back to blue in 2020.
 
And thus we come the end of this step's first quarter. The second quarter will go over the best strategies to follow for districts situated in Texas, Ohio, New York, and Virginia. Then, the third quarter will describe ideal procedures for flipping target districts in Illinois, Florida, Indiana, and California. After that, the final quarter will cover optimized tactics for districts within New Jersey, Colorado, Nebraska, and Montana. So stay tuned! Any corrections or comments are welcome.
submitted by Watchdogs66 to VoteDEM [link] [comments]


2020.10.17 01:16 redsoxfan2194 2020-21 Return to Play Plans

With conference plans for the coming season starting to trickle in I thought it would be good to put them all in one place.

Men's

Atlantic Hockey

Start Date

November 13-14, 2020

Number of Games

24 games conference games (schedule allows for up to 4 additional games)

Teams:

Teams will be split into two divisions
East West
AIC Canisius
Army Mercyhurst
Bentley Niagara
Holy Cross RIT
Sacred Heart Robert Morris
Air Force
Long Island University

Schedule Plan

All teams will play five games against each pod member (20 total games), play Air Force for a pair of games (2) for 22 league games, and then play a two-game set against LIU, who is being worked in as a scheduling partner for the 2020-21 season. Air Force will play each team twice and add in the Sharks for four games, two home and two on the road

Additional Info

League standings determined by point percentage this season, not by total points or win percentage

Schedule

TBA

Big Ten

Start Date

November 13, 2020

Number of Games

24-game conference schedules, plus an additional four games per school against Arizona State University hosted at Big Ten venues

Teams:

Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Notre Dame
Ohio State
Penn State
Wisconsin
Arizona State

Schedule Plan

Everyone plays each other 4 times (2 home, 2 away (presumably)) plus 4 home games vs ASU

Additional Info

The 2021 Big Ten Hockey Tournament will return to the one-weekend, single-elimination format used during the first four years of Big Ten hockey and will feature all seven conference teams – Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Penn State and Wisconsin. The tournament will be held March 18-20 and will consist of six games (three games on Thursday; two games on Friday; and the championship game on Saturday)

Schedule

TBA

National Collegiate Hockey Conference

Start Date

December 1, 2020

Number of Games

26 games conference games (10 in Pod, 16 in Division)

Teams:

Teams will be split into two divisions
East West
Miami Colorado College
Minnesota Duluth Denver
St. Cloud State North Dakota
Western Michigan Omaha

Schedule Plan

Teams will play each of their divisional opponents six times (18 games total) and each cross-division opponent twice (8 games total), with all cross-division games taking place in the Pod to alleviate travel. The second portion of the season will then take place January through March, with all divisional foes playing each other at home and on the road.

Additional Info

The Pod, which will take place in Omaha, Nebraska, where the University of Nebraska Omaha’s Baxter Arena will host all eight NCHC teams

Schedule

TBA

Hockey East

Hockey East has yet to announce a return to play plan

Start Date

TBA

Number of Games

TBA

Teams:

TBA

Schedule Plan

TBA

Additional Info

TBA

Schedule

TBA

ECAC Hockey

ECAC Hockey has yet to announce a return to play plan

Start Date

TBA

Number of Games

TBA

Teams:

TBA

Schedule Plan

TBA

Additional Info

TBA

Schedule

TBA

Western Collegiate Hockey Association

Western Collegiate Hockey Association has yet to announce a return to play plan

Start Date

TBA

Number of Games

TBA

Teams:

TBA

Schedule Plan

TBA

Additional Info

TBA

Schedule

TBA

Women's

College Hockey America

College Hockey America has yet to announce a return to play plan

Start Date

TBA

Number of Games

TBA

Teams:

TBA

Schedule Plan

TBA

Additional Info

TBA

Schedule

TBA

ECAC Hockey

ECAC Hockey has yet to announce a return to play plan

Start Date

TBA

Number of Games

TBA

Teams:

TBA

Schedule Plan

TBA

Additional Info

TBA

Schedule

TBA

Hockey East

Hockey East has yet to announce a return to play plan

Start Date

TBA

Number of Games

TBA

Teams:

TBA

Schedule Plan

TBA

Additional Info

TBA

Schedule

TBA

NEWHA

NEWHA has yet to announce a return to play plan

Start Date

TBA

Number of Games

TBA

Teams:

TBA

Schedule Plan

TBA

Additional Info

TBA

Schedule

TBA
submitted by redsoxfan2194 to collegehockey [link] [comments]


2020.10.17 01:15 My_name_is_Bot Nebraska woman convicted in 2017 Tinder date murder

Nebraska woman convicted in 2017 Tinder date murder submitted by My_name_is_Bot to RSSBot [link] [comments]


2020.10.16 23:42 yuzucrzy Absentee voting in Nebraska help

Hopefully I'm not too late. I'm trying to register to vote in Nebraska where I am a legal resident of. I haven't lived there in over 10 years and no have no family there. I still hold a Nebraska drivers license (exp date on it is 2025) that has my Hawaii address on it (where I'm currently stationed).
Anyways, I'm trying to register to vote but it won't let me put Hawaii as the state of my current address and also forcing me to select a Nebraska County. I don't want to "falsify" my information because it's forcing me to select Nebraska when its not my address. I also haven't been previously registered to vote in Nebraska.
submitted by yuzucrzy to AirForce [link] [comments]


2020.10.16 23:14 newsfeedmedia Nebraska woman convicted in 2017 Tinder date murder

Nebraska woman convicted in 2017 Tinder date murder submitted by newsfeedmedia to newsfeedmedia [link] [comments]


2020.10.16 18:53 circa285 Cumulative Nebraska Death by Date

Cumulative Nebraska Death by Date submitted by circa285 to Omaha [link] [comments]


2020.10.16 15:26 PeonSupreme Jury finds Nebraska woman guilty of dismembering Tinder date

Jury finds Nebraska woman guilty of dismembering Tinder date submitted by PeonSupreme to Worstoftoxicwomen [link] [comments]


2020.10.15 22:48 FreelanceAbortionist Race Report: Sub 3 Attempt

Race Information

Goals

Goal Description Completed?
A Sub 3 Yes

Splits

Mile Time
1 6:27
2 6:42
3 6:36
4 6:43
5 6:38
6 6:51
7 6:37
8 6:46
9 6:43
10 6:43
11 6:50
12 6:57
13 6:45
14 6:44
15 6:51
16 6:38
17 6:43
18 6:46
19 6:53
20 6:56
21 6:52
22 7:04
23 7:21
24 7:05
25 6:53
26 7:09
27 6:23

Training

I ran this same race last year for my first marathon and ran 4:04. I had a long shot goal of trying to BQ this year and ran a virtual half earlier in the year in 1:23:15 that gave me hope.
Once COVID hit, I ramped up my training pretty significantly and over the past 5ish months, have averaged in the 85 MPW range with at least one long run per week and also incorporated in track workouts.

Pre-race

When I ran this race last year, the course was really easy, so I was expecting that once again. They ended up moving the course and after talking to some people familiar with the course, I found out that this would be a bit more difficult than I anticipated.
I went for a 5 mile shakeout Thursday night to test out the Alphaflys that I got in their initial release. What I realized is that these shoes would not work for me. Similar to the Hoka Clifton 6s, they blistered the inside of my arches pretty severely and there was no way that I could make it work. I ended up making a game time decision and rolling with a way worn down pair of Vaporfly Next%s.
My friend and I were both planning on making our sub 3 attempt, so we warmed up and talked strategy. He had run a different marathon three weeks before, and by his watch, had run a BQ time. The problem was, the course was over a half mile long so his official time ended up being 3:00:48...

Race

It was 61 degrees with 99% humidity when the race started (damn Nebraska weather.) The race started with the first few miles being a pretty severe downhill. We started out a bit fast, but it felt easy. We hit the half marathon turnaround at a 6:41 pace.
Nothing eventful happened through the 15 mile mark. Still on pace after having to fight the 15 MPH winds the whole way. We made the turn around still on pace and kept going. Only 11.2 to go.
At mile 17, my friend dropped off the pace a little bit and I spent the next 3ish miles trying to bring him back up to speed. I crossed through the 20 mile mark at a 6:45 pace. Plenty of margin to deal with the uphill final 10K... or so I thought.
I felt like I was giving the same effort level and kept seeing miles over 7 minutes... I watched my average pace keep ticking up as I was slowly knocking off miles. The last 10K involved about 400 feet of elevation gain and it was miserable.
With 1.7 miles remaining, I watched my average pace hit 6:48 and I realized that I was going to have to give it everything I had to try and cross in under 3 hours. I made it up the hill, turned the last corner, and had the finish line in view... 2:58:xx on the clock and realized that I was going to do it! I crossed in 2:59:07! A BQ, 5th place finish, and a 65 minute improvement over my time from last year.
Made with a new race report generator created by herumph.
submitted by FreelanceAbortionist to AdvancedRunning [link] [comments]


2020.10.15 15:53 HeyitsyaboyJesus Nebraska 2021 Recruiting Class Review: 10/15/2020

I spent my off time this week taking a hard look at the recruits of this class. I’ve compiled our current commits below and done my own evaluation and what I see in each recruit- the good and the bad. I’ve made determinations on how I think they should be rated and compare that to their 247 rating.
I’m a complete amateur at evaluating recruits and have no experience other than watching film and seeing what the experts take into account and how they rate players. This was an exercise for me and I gave a brief bio about each player. The heights and weights are taken from 247 and from what I’ve seen on film as some of the weights were not up to date. I followed 247’s rating explanations as a guide.
Koby Bretz - Omaha, NE
6’2” – 185lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 50.74 Miles
Profile: 88 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: S/WR
Recruitment Position: S/Field OLB
Koby Bretz plays for Omaha Westside in Omaha, Nebraska. Last year Westside played Bellevue West for the state title but came up short. This year, they and Bellevue West are again the favorites to play in the state championship. The currently are undefeated sitting at 7-0.
Bretz is a tall, powerful, athletic Safety that shows great speed and angle recognition when coming downhill. While not the strongest looking player, he brings a level of physicality to Westside’s defensive backfield, capable of forcing fumbles on devastating hits. He has highlights of him coming between gaps and through blocks to make tackles. His playmaking highlights at safety much of the time is in run support, but in the games I’ve seen of him this year he has been able to recognize pass plays and make some high caliber PBU’s. At wide receiver he has shown that he can go up and make plays on balls while showing above average straight-line speed (this also shows up in his pursuit as a DB).
Bretz has all the tools to be a great player- of this class, he has one of the highest ceilings. He is someone that will need a year to learn hone his skills as a DB, get stronger and learn the playbook. His frame looks like it can hold another 20-30lbs comfortably- however he will need to work hard to develop himself. I think he starts out as a Safety before moving down to the field OLB. I think he can be a force at this position- he is a gifted tackler. Additionally, if the staff felt like they needed him at ILB, I feel as though he could play this position as well.
Bretz is rated an 88 by 247. I think his rating is appropriate. Depending on how he has looked this year, I could see him rise. Unfortunately, he has not posted any of his gameplay from this year on hudl.
Marques Buford – Oakdale, CT (Cedar Hill, TX)
6’0” – 195lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 1274.04 Miles
Profile: 87 247 – 5.5 RivalsHudl
Current Position: ATH – DB/WR
Recruitment Position: DB
Marques Buford plays for St. Thomas More Preparatory School in Oakdale, CT. Buford is a two-time state champion with his high school team at Trinity Christian School in Cedar Hill, TX.
Buford is an excellent all-around athlete playing at Defensive Back. He was a top camp performer multiple times in high school. He is agile, he is fast, he has great hands and a solid frame. He can lockdown receivers in man coverage and go up for balls just as well. He has solid play recognition ability and tackling ability. With a year at Prep School, he will be in a similar position to Alante Brown this year and have the opportunity and come in and help the DB room immediately.
When viewing his film, Buford does not have any immediately recognizable deficiencies. He will need to continue working hard and improve his body and skills as a DB.
Buford is rated an 87 by 247. I think Buford is underrated here and should be a borderline 4* at an 89 or 90. He is the best prep school player in the country.
James Carnie – Firth, NE
6’5” – 223lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 19.8 Miles
Profile: 86 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: TE/OLB
Recruitment Position: TE
James Carnie plays for Norris High School in Firth, Nebraska. His team finished 7-4 last year and currently sits at 6-1 this year.
Carnie is an athletic Tight End/Outside Linebacker standing a 6’5” 223lbs. During the summer Carnie caught eyes with his 32.5” vertical and 4.6- 40 yard dash time at the Warren Academy Showcase. He is regarded by some as the best tight end in the state of Nebraska. This season he has shown that his athleticism in camps shows up on the field. He is a physical blocker and pass rusher, capable of pancaking DBs/LBs and coming off blocks to chase down QBs/RBs. Carnie has been able to show his speed and explosiveness on the field as a tight end, getting free from DBs and winning footraces to the end zone. He has shown ability to go up for 50/50 balls and yank them out of the air. His hands have improved greatly from last season and over the course of this season.
He is a physical player that will need to improve his body position going into contact. Carnie can run through people with poor tackling now, but if he lowers his shoulder, he should be able to blow through better tacklers. He has shown that he can drag tacklers and spin out of waist tackles.
Carnie will need to improve his route running ability, while decent now, he needs better breakouts and crisper routes. He also needs to improve his general elusiveness and on-the-field speed slightly, it appears that not all the speed he gained during the offseason has translated.
When he gets to Nebraska, he must maintain the same mentality he had over the summer and this season, working hard, and proving he can be a great player. He will need to continue to gain lean muscle and explosiveness to be a physical blocker and pass catcheroute runner.
Carnie is rated an 86 by 247. I believe this is the correct range for him to be in, however, I could see him improve to an 88 with his performance over the season and into the playoffs.
Gabe Ervin – Buford, GA
6’0” – 200lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 834.65 Miles
Profile: 84 247 – 5.7 RivalsHudl
Current Position: RB
Recruitment Position: RB
Gabe Ervin plays for Buford High School in Buford Georgia. Buford High School won the 5A state title last year in a come back victory and moved to the 6A division currently sitting at 3-1 this season. While the school is not filled with P5 athletes, the school executes its offense and defense at a high level to control and win games.
Playing at the Running Back position, Ervin is one of the most intriguing prospects of Nebraska’s class. He appears and is capable of being a 3-down back that runs downhill, makes quick cuts and breaks tackles. However, Gabe Ervin’s athleticism is more than being a downhill bruiser and he has shown he can be shifty in the backfield and bounce the football outside the tackles this season. Ervin is capable of getting down the field in a hurry and if a seam opens up in the middle of the field he will hit that seam and take it to the house- he is capable of accelerating and hitting his stride as soon as he reaches the second level.
Ervin’s vision and ability to read defenses is at a high level coming out of high school and I think this is attributed to the system he plays in and the coaching he has received. In game film I have seen him make reads on linebackers and use footwork while he is in the backfield to get LB’s to bite on the wrong gaps- in a particular play that he did this he turned what would have been a 7 or 8 yard gain to a 40 yard gain.
Ervin’s shiftiness is not given enough credit, he has been able to put DB’s and LB’s on skates with his footwork. He has shown that he can put defensive players at bad angles to make tackles and then break them- shedding them off his hips or with a stout stiff arm. His balance is very impressive and has shown great resilience on going down on ankle tackles. Last year Ervin averaged ~6.7 ypc. He seeks to improve his YPC and has done a good job, rushing for 178 yards on 10 carries in his most recent game.
Ervin is rated an 84 by 247. I believe Ervin deserves at least a 4-point bump. Ervin’s running style is akin to what Devine Ozigbo’s looked like his senior season. Strong downfield runner with unexpected elusiveness, but Ervin’s ability to bounce the ball outside the OT’s this season has been his biggest improvement and it has surprised a lot of people- me included. According to “Tracking Football” Ervin scores a 4.6 out of 5.0 on their athleticism scale when looking at his height, weight, and track times. This is considered “exceptional”. If I were to describe Ervin’s running ability and approach to the game in one word it would, “professional”.
Thomas Fidone – Council Bluffs, IA – US Army All American
6’5” – 225lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 54.1 Miles
Profile: 95 247 – 6.0 RivalsHudl
Current Position: TE
Recruitment Position: TE
Thomas Fidone plays for Lewis Central High School in Council Bluffs, Iowa. He is an Army All American Tight End. Thomas Fidone is the best Tight End in the nation of the 2021 class. He is the best route running and pass catching tight ends I’ve ever seen at the High School level. If you were to look at all the recruits this cycle and ask for the best route runners and pass catchers (RB’s, WR’s, and TE’s included) Fidone would still be at the top of the list. His breakouts are exceptional, his footwork is exceptional, his hands are exceptional. He stands at 6’5 225 and runs a 4.63 – 40-yard dash with a 37” vertical, all of which shows up on the field, winning in foot races to the endzone and showing elusiveness and acceleration.
He is a physical player and wins jump balls and sells his body out to make great catches. He drags defenders and puts them in the dirt with stiff arms. He is a capable and physical blocker. He is an extremely hard worker that wants to be the best.
Fidone is rated a 95 by 247. He has had a fantastic season so far. He has a shot at becoming a 5* player by 247, but I believe much of that decision will come down to how he plays at the All-American Bowl.
Mikai Gbayor – Irvington, NJ
6’2 – 220lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 1172.70 Miles
Profile: 87 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: ILB
Recruitment Position: ILB
Mikai Gbayor plays for Irvington High School in Irvington, New Jersey. His school lost in the semi-final for the state championship. His team is off to a 2-0 start this season.
Gbayor plays Inside Linebacker and is a physical presence in the center of the field. He has solid play recognition, appears to be a sure tackler and often is a decleator. He has multiple highlights of him destroying RB’s and QB’s. Unfortunately, he doesn’t have a ton of hudl film for me to look through. He is best as a run stopper and is fast enough to hit gaps he needs to. He has a long frame and appears to be able to put on a good bit more weight and muscle. His lateral movement needs to improve as does his pass coverage and acceleration. However, I do think he has the athleticism to pull this off- he will need to dedicate himself to the S&C program and to improving technique.
Gbayor is rated an 87 by 247, I think this is a fair assessment. I do think his skill is in the 85-87 range. If he can show this season that he has improved his acceleration, ability to get off blocks and pursue sideline to sideline he will be a force to be reckoned with.
Kamonte Grimes – Naples, FL – US Army All American
6’2” – 205lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 1324.77 Miles
Profile: 88 247 – 5.5 RivalsHudl
Current Position: WDB
Recruitment Position: WR
Kamonte Grimes plays for Palmetto Ridge High School in Naples, Florida. His team went 4-6 overall in 2019, but are off to a 3-0 start this season. He is an Army All American.
Grimes is both a Wide Receiver and Defensive Back at his high school but was recruited as a WR by the Huskers. He spent the offseason becoming a better athlete and really worked on his body. Over the summer he accepted an invitation to play in the Army All American Bowl. Grimes is another unique prospect. The way that he runs makes him look slower and less elusive than he is, but he can create separation and outrun pursuing players. He glides and is a smooth route runner. He can go up for balls and break tackles made with poor angles. He’s a willing blocker. I think the biggest parts of his game he needs to improve upon is his explosiveness and route running.
Grimes is rated an 88 by 247, I find this to be a fair rating. I found the invite to the Army All-American Bowl particularly interesting as I don’t see him as an elite receiver. I think his performance at the AA Bowl will tell us a lot about how good he is.
Heinrich Haarberg – Kearney, NE
6’5” – 185lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 119.43 Miles
Profile: 88 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: QB
Recruitment Position: QB
Heinrich Haarberg plays for Kearney Catholic in Kearney, Nebraska. His team finished 7-3 last year and currently sits at 5-1 this season.
Haarberg is a tall athletic and raw Quarterback. He has a lot of untapped talent and if he can hone his skills, he can be dangerous. Haarberg makes throwing 50-yard bombs and 20-yard lasers look easy. He’s adept at using his body and hips to generate power on his throws and can make strong throws while on the run and across his body. Haarberg is a boon in the QB run game, an area his team has relied on a lot this season. He can run through tackles and likes to play physically- he lowers his shoulder into contact. If Haarberg gets into the open field he can win footraces, having run a sub 11.0 100m.
Haarberg will need to spend time with Verduzco to improve as a QB, but understands he needs work. I’m not super familiar with looking at and evaluating QB’s, but I can tell he has poor footwork when he drops back in the pocket. If Haarberg spends a lot of time in S&C, he can become a force in the QB run game that no player wants to tackle. I can see him getting up to 235lbs and still retain his speed.
Haarberg is rated an 88 by 247. I think this is an appropriate rating. He has a very high upside and athletic ability, he just needs to develop and harness it.
Shawn Hardy – Kingsland, GA
6’3” – 190lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 1086.47 Miles
Profile: 85 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: WR
Recruitment Position: WR
Shawn Hardy plays for Camden County High School in Kingsland, Georgia. His team finished 8-3 last year and sits at 4-2 this year.
Hardy is a taller receiver that excels in his ball tracking ability and ability to go up and win 50/50 balls. He has solid speed to take the tops off defenses on go routes with his long stride. He plays a physical game when jumping up for balls and routinely rips the ball from defenders’ hands. He has surprising elusiveness for his size, and it has really come out this season with being able to accelerate around blocks and make strong cuts. While his route running is solid, there is always room to improve. His top end speed, elusiveness and acceleration only need a slight improvement to take him from a good receiver to an elite receiver. He has already improved his acceleration markedly.
Hardy is rated an 85 by 247. I think Hardy is underrated and would consider him our best receiver of the class when looking at this film. He plays against a high level of competition in Georgia 7A football- he finished with the 2nd most receiving yards in his conference and is on pace to surpass his previous years number. I would give Hardy a 2-point bump to an 87, maybe a 3 point bump to an 88.
Randolph Kpai – Sioux Falls, SD
6’3” – 185lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 189.39 Miles
Profile: 90 247 – 5.7 RivalsHudl
Current Position: LB
Recruitment Position: ILB
Randolph Kpai plays for Washington High School in Sioux Falls, SD. Last year his team finished 4-7 and is currently 3-4 on the season.
Kpai is one of the most athletic Linebackers in this class and it is apparent on his film. Kpai can accelerate to gaps and lay the wood on whatever offensive player is unlucky enough to get hit by him. He doesn’t have any official testing numbers but just watching his film you can see his ability- he moves at a different speed than everyone else on the field. Kpai could be either a Field OLB or WILL ILB and be effective in either position. He is fast coming off the edge and closing in on ball carriers to make tackles. He strikes blocks hard and can chase RB’s and WR’s laterally. He’s everything you want athletically at LB.
Kpai remains slight at 6’3, but he should be able to add a lot of good weight to his frame and become a dangerous player. He will need time to learn assignments and continue getting experience at one of the toughest positions to learn in football to become a great ILB.
This season Kpai leads his team in Solo (25) and Assisted (35) tackles. He is second on the team in TFL’s with 6.0. He sits at 1.5 sacks this season. Kpai has forced a total of 7 turnovers (4 INT, 3 Fumbles) in the 7 games he has played and has recovered 1 fumble. He has a total of 60 yards after interceptions. He already has two touchdowns scored on turnovers. He has performed very well throughout this season.
Kpai is rated a 90 by 247. I think this is an… adequate rating. Kpai could manage to see a slight bump. A total of 7 forced turnovers and 2 defensive touchdowns to his name, as a linebacker, is nothing short of impressive. I could see Kpai deserving up to a 2-point bump. I think he is one of most overlooked guys of the class by fans.
Henry Lutovsky – Mount Pleasant, IA
6’6 – 330lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 269.38 Miles
Profile: 87 247 – 5.7 RivalsHudl
Current Position: OL
Recruitment Position: OL
Henry Lutovsky plays for Mount Pleasant High School in Mount Pleasant, Iowa. Last season his team finished 6-3. They currently sit a 3-3 on the season.
Henry Lutovsky plays on the Offensive Line and has seen himself move around from OG to OT- usually to match up against a defensive line’s best player. In his first game he played against TJ Bollers, a 4* DE committed to Wisconsin. He started slow and had a tendency to over pursue at OT, but as the game went on he got more comfortable and prevented Bollers from making an impact on the game- him finishing with only 3.0 tackles for the night and no TFLs/Sacks (albeit the Panthers schemed away from Bollers).
Lutovsky is strongest at the offensive guard position and maintains good hip position and feet movement while driving through blocks and maintaining pass protection. At this level, his strength is overwhelming and rarely sees himself challenged- regularly pancaking his competition. He stands at 6’6, 330lbs and carries his weight extremely well. There are videos of him moving and jumping that are impressive to see at his size. Lutovsky will continue to need to develop and hone his game, but at his size and with his ability he would easily be a starting OG at the G5 level as a true freshman.
Lutovsky is rated an 87 by 247. I find his rating quite low for his ability. I think the biggest thing holding Lutovsky back from seeing a ratings bump is a lack of activity in camps and not seeing better competition. I really would have liked to see him get an invite to the All-American Bowl and see how he stacks up against elite competition. It’s hard to justify more than a 2 or 3-point bump for Lutovsky because he simply has not played against good enough competition, but I think he deserves to be in the low 4* range at a 89-91. I think I’m able to justify that rise alone in his performance against Bollers, at a position that he normally doesn’t play.
Lutovsky is one of my favorite recruits of this class, he has been a peer recruiter for this cycle and carries one of the most impressive OL frames this cycle. I think Lutovsky will be an elite offensive lineman for this team and an eventual NFL draft pick.
Seth Malcom – Tabor, IA
6’3” – 195lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 54.51 Miles
Profile: 83 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: LB/RB
Recruitment Position: LB
Seth Malcom plays 8-man football for Freemont-Mills High School in Tabor, Iowa. Last year his team finished 8-2. His team currently sits a 2-1 for the season.
Seth plays both Linebacker and Runningback in 8-man football making him particularly difficult to evaluate. The game between 11-man football and 8-man changes quite a bit, but I can comment on what I’ve seen from him on his junior film in terms of athletic ability.
His best feature is how hard he plays and how tough he is. He plays with a chip on his shoulder like he’s got something to prove. He’s a patient linebacker that will wait for a play to develop before filling his gap- this can be a bit of a double edged sword- but may be a result of 8 man football since the game has a lot more space and one missed tackle can be a touchdown. He’s pretty nimble on his feet and you can see that in his RB highlights.
He needs to improve his lateral speed, general explosiveness, and striking/coming off blocks. He will need to dedicate himself as a student of the game and work closely with Barret Ruud and Luke Reimer (a former 8-man playing in Kansas) to learn 11-man football. He’ll need to spend equal time in the weight room, developing his body. If the staff can develop Malcom into a starter at Nebraska, it will be a major accomplishment.
Malcom is rated an 83 by 247. It is difficult to just a higher rating for Malcom and I found it strange that the staff took his commitment. Malcom has a lot to prove and the odds stacked against him.
Latrelle Neville – Missouri City, TX
6’3” – 195lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 775.97 Miles
Profile: 85 247 – 5.8 RivalsHudl
Current Position: WR
Recruitment Position: WR
Latrelle Neville plays for Hightower High School in Missouri City, Texas. Last year his team finished 6-5 and they currently sit at 0-1 this season.
Latrelle is a large Wide Receiver that can operate as a punishing blocker and tremendous leaper. Latrelle can go up for balls and snatch them out of the air. He received high flying evaluations his sophomore year of High School, before dropping off to his current rating.
Neville is difficult to evaluate because the QB play at his High School has been atrocious. His QB barely threw a .500 completion rate and threw half as many picks as TDs. Many times, his QB had to settle for shovel passes. It’s been difficult to evaluate Latrelle for me because there simply isn’t much of him. Between his Sophomore and Junior year there was a drop off in his play due to the QB situation and due to the weight he gained. He played heavier his junior season than he is now in his senior season. In the short film that I’ve seen of his senior season he is faster and more agile than he was last year, his routes look crisper, but it is really hard to say.
Neville is rated an 85 by 247. I think this is an appropriate rating. I don’t think we will know what Neville can do until he gets here or manages to put up more film- but with his QB returning from last year, I don’t think we’ll get to see much.
Patrick Payton – Miami, FL
6’5” – 205lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 1405.29 Miles
Profile: 89 247 – 5.7 RivalsHudl
Current Position: OLB
Recruitment Position: OLB
Patrick Payton plays for Miami Northwestern High School in Miami, Florida. His team has yet to play this season. Last season he played for Miami High School and finished 8-4.
Payton is a lengthy, lean, athletic Outside Linebacker that uses his speed and agility to come off the edge, rush the passer and get into the backfield. Payton understands his reach and can make arm tackles and trip up ball carriers when pursuing at disadvantageous angles. He’s skilled at using his hips and hands to get around blocks. He’s shifty and slippery enough to get linemen to pursue blocks on him and slip around them. He had a productive season last year, accruing 17.5 sacks.
Payton is rated an 89 by 247. I think this is an appropriate rating. His biggest detractor is simply his weight and strength. At 205lbs, he isn’t big enough to compete at the P5 level. If he can gain the weight and strength, he instantly becomes a lot more dangerous.
Teddy Prochazka – Omaha, NE
6’8” – 300lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 50.74 Miles
Profile: 88 247 – 5.9 RivalsHudl
Current Position: OT
Recruitment Position: OT
Teddy Prochazka plays for Elkhorn South High School in Omaha, Nebraska. His team sits a 6-1 this season after finishing 7-4 last season.
Prochazka plays Offensive Tackle. He carries a hulking frame while maintaining a high level of athleticism and mobility. He suffers from the same problem that plagues Lutovsky in that the competition level he is up against is just not good enough to test his skills. I find that Prochazka’s form is not as polished as other offensive tackles, getting out of position and standing upright at times- technique is something that he will need to attack when arriving on campus.
Prochazka is rated an 88 by 247. I think his athleticism and size could justify him seeing a slight bump a point or two- but his technique really holds him back. The coaching he’ll receive from Austin should help him make that leap to the next level.
AJ Rollins – Omaha, NE
6’6” – 220lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 50.74 Miles
Profile: 86 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: TE/DE
Recruitment Position: TE
AJ Rollins plays for Creighton Preparatory School in Omaha, Nebraska. Last year his team finished 6-4, this year his team currently sits a 6-2.
Rollins carries a sizeable frame with the ability to put on ~25-35 more pounds on comfortably. From his film it appears that he’s quick out of his 3-point stance and that is where he is able to create the most separation and get open. It doesn’t appear that he has top end speed or agility- an area he will have to work on to compete with the other tight ends joining him in this class. When the ball is thrown his way he’s able to jump and extend upwards, high pointing his catches. His physicality as a blocker is a strength and he can stand up against edge rushers and engage LBs downfield.
His breaks on his route running are decent and he’s able to create separation, but like Carnie, needs to improve his route running.
Rollins is rated an 86 by 247. I think this rating is appropriate. Unfortunately, I haven’t seen a lot out of him this season and I don’t think it’s possible he rises. His QB’s play has been poor and has had trouble getting him the ball. It’ll need to be a year where Rollins focuses on his blocking and making the most out of the catches he gets.
Lardarius Webb Jr. – Jackson, MS
5’10” – 170lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 690 Miles
Profile: 84 247 – 5.5 RivalsHudl
Current Position: CB
Recruitment Position: DB
Lardarius Webb Jr. plays for the Jackson Academy in Jackson, Mississippi. He is the son of former Baltimore Raven Lardarius Webb. His team sits 5-3 this season. Last season his team finished 7-5.
Webb is a tough prospect for me to judge adequately, I feel that DB film is tough to evaluate well. From what I’ve seen Webb is a tad undersized and will need play a role similar to what Dicaprio Bootle does where he accelerates and sticks to receivers, getting his hands in where balls are thrown. Webb has a decent number of TFL’s (4) as a CB for the season and seems to be capable of reading when screens are coming and breaking to the receiver. He plays hard and throws as big of hits as he can, but he will need to put work in the S&C room to get where he needs to be- he also needs to improve his tackling form and wrap up appropriately. From his training film, what I find most impressive about him is his hips. Webb has very fluid hips and can whip them around to follow receivers’ changes of direction- however, he will need to increase his speed and acceleration breaking to the ball once his hips are aligned.
Webb is rated an 84 by 247. I think this rating is appropriate and I’m a little surprised it’s not lower. There isn’t much film on him and I wish that DB’s put more film of them covering receivers rather than them going for the big hit or big play, because there isn’t much to learn from those.
Malik Williams – Buford, GA
6’0” – 187lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 834.65 Miles
Profile: 81 247 – 5.6 RivalsHudl
Current Position: DB
Recruitment Position: DB
Malik Williams plays for Buford High School in Buford, Georgia. Buford High School won the 5A state title last year in a comeback victory and moved to the 6A division currently sitting at 3-1 this season. While the school is not filled with P5 athletes, the school executes its offense and defense at a high level to control and win games.
Williams is a rangy, strong corner that jams receivers at the line of scrimmage. He is solid at accelerating and breaking to receivers with the ball, but alike Webb, doesn’t have a lot of film of him operating in coverage. From what I’ve seen he seems to play off receivers slightly too much and allows them just enough room to be hit with a pass. I’m unsure if that is a factor of him not being able to keep up with receivers and being beaten on go routes or if it’s him not understanding how far off the receiver he needs to play. For a CB, however, he is strong and long enough to come off blocks and make tackles- this is an area I think he is particularly strong in. I think he will be capable of playing safety or cornerback at Nebraska.
Williams is rated an 81 by 247. I think this rating seems a tad low, however, alike Webb there isn’t much to justify him seeing a rise. I do think Williams is a better DB than Webb though. If Williams puts up film of him in coverage locking down receivers, making tackles, breaking up passes and making interceptions, I expect to see him rating rise (you can say this with just about any DB- but if your coverage is so good QB’s won’t throw the ball to your area, you need to show that). He plays for a great team in one of the larger classes in Georgia. You don’t start on a championship team in Georgia without being a good player.
Branson Yager – Grantsville, UT
6’7” – 332lbs
Distance to Lincoln: 824.28 Miles
Profile: 83 247 – 5.7 RivalsHudl
Current Position: OT
Recruitment Position: OT
Branson Yager plays for Grantsville High School in Grantsville, Utah. His team currently sits at 5-5. Last season his team finished 10-3.
Yager plays offensive tackle; he can be punishing with his blocks and pancake guys that line up across from him. He was matched up against an All-American Defensive end last year and played okay. His frame, although massive, needs work. He will need to spend a lot of time in the S&C program, breaking himself down and building himself back up – he needs to improve his agility, speed off the line and flexibility. He has trouble at times getting across laterally to make blocks on rushing defenders. He has the poor tendency to lurch forward while trying to make blocks, causing him to miss them at times.
Yager is rated an 83 by 247. I think this an accurate rating. I think Yager could see a 2-point bump if his overall athleticism has improved, but looking at his senior film, he looks about the same as he did last year with slight improvements in blocking form. If Yager arrives on campus, drops weight to 300 and rebuilds himself from there, I think we could be looking at an interesting prospect at offensive tackle. Yager understand he needs time to develop, however, he needs to hit the ground running.
In Review
Nebraska’s 2021 recruiting class is not as star studded as our previous classes, but it contains a lot of athletes that have low floors but high ceilings. It is a much more local class than previous classes with 9 recruits coming from the 500-mile radius and an average distance to Lincoln of 583.2447 miles. I think this can be attributed to both COVID and the talent that seems to be on the rise in Nebraska.
I would describe this class as developmental. If the coaching staff can develop these players, it will be a very solid class. There are still some additions that the staff needs to make at DL to make this a complete class.
Notes/Fun Facts
Our highest rated recruit of this class is Thomas Fidone, rated as the #1 Tight End in the country at a 95. Our lowest rated is Cornerback, Malik Williams at an 81. I would consider the most underrated recruit of this class to be Gabe Ervin, rated an 84 or Henry Lutovsky, rated at an 87.
The farthest from Lincoln is Patrick Payton at 1405.29 miles, while the closest recruit is James Carnie at 19.8 miles.
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